Posted on 03/12/2002 6:34:22 PM PST by Tumbleweed_Connection
"The single most important piece of fundamental information you need about a company is its correct earnings," Dr. Martin D. Weiss advises in The Ultimate Safe Money Guide.
"It's no coincidence, therefore, that earnings information is often the prime target for manipulation and distortion - by none other than the company officials who are responsible for compiling and issuing the data for each quarter."
Weiss says that the problem arises when company officials are pressured by Wall Street to meet the Street's "overblown expectations" fearing that if they don't the price of their stock will be "severely punished."
"So when they realize their actual earnings are falling short, many resort to gimmicks (both legal and illegal) to twist the truth. The consequences for investors are disastrous."
He cites such cases as:
Nine West: When investigated by the Securities and Exchange Commission for allegedly misrepresenting revenues after its 1995 acquisition of U.S. Shoe Corp., its stock plunged.
Shareholders in Summit Medical saw their stock slide nearly 90 percent for similar reasons.
Stock in McKesson HBOC plunged 82 percent after it was forced to restate three years' worth of revenues because of accounting improprieties.
Sunbeam Corp. falsely reported $96 million in income it never earned. The stock was virtually wiped away - down 93.4 percent.
Tyco fell 58 percent, Informix fell 89 percent, and Safety-Kleen lost a whopping 96 percent - all because of allegations that their earnings has been distorted. And then there were Enron and Global Crossing ....
Weiss notes that in each case, when the truth finally came out, and by the time most investors learned what had happened and sold their stock, it was too late.
These are not isolated cases. Weiss says that in a close look at more than 6,000 companies listed on U.S. stock exchanges, 1,697 - nearly one out of three - had significant discrepancies between earnings and cash flow. Such results are, he wrote, a red flag, leading to suspicions of earnings manipulations, legal or illegal.
Stock-Options Scam
Why do companies do this, he asks. "Simple. The officials of America's corporations get up to 90 percent of their compensation in stock and stock options. So they have everything to gain by putting out information that will boost the value of their own investments in the company.
What happens, therefore, when a company's stock drops by 30 percent, for example?
"The Big Cheese loses one third, one half, or even two thirds of his or her personal wealth, in the case of a big outfit that can run into the hundreds of millions of dollars."
Knowing that there is nothing better to pump up stock prices than a positive earnings report, "unscrupulous CEOs massage the numbers, hide losses any way they can, artificially inflate revenues, and when all this fails, look you straight in the eye and lie their rich, well-tailored fannies off."
And you pay the price.
Weiss lists some of the tricks corporate bigwigs use to cook the books. One is falsely inflating the goodwill value of the company. Another is padded sales reports, and another is playing games with details of stock options.
But all this is just the first filter through which the facts are laundered.
Once the information has passed through corporate headquarters and reached Wall Street, you can "add on a whole new layer of hype and distortion."
We'll cover that story next in part three.
Baseball teams aren't publicly held companies, and they're constantly trying to get taxpayers to pay for new stadiums for them, and also trying to win over public opinion in labor disputes, so they constantly lie about their losses.
One neat trick is for a team to pay MASSIVE rent for the stadium, which the team owner owns...Huizenga did this in Miami...so it makes it looks like the Marlins lost money, when, in fact, they only lost money because they were paying the owner of the team massive rent to use Pro Player Stadium.
Another is for a team owned by a major media company that also broadcasts the games to get paid almost nothing for broadcast rights.
Most businesses aren't either. Whose side are you on?
Second, over the long term a steadily improving balance sheet is probably more important than a good income statement. A rational, long term (excuse the redundancy) investor will be more interested in being rich than in having a high income. As a result, Dr. Weiss' comment that "The single most important piece of fundamental information you need about a company is its correct earnings" is probably incorrect; particularly in a world where there is a differential between capital gains and true income. The balance sheet, and postive changes to it, are the key. Certainly a good income is a postive factor towards a good long term balance sheet, but there are other factors to consider also. Finally, this guy talks about cooking the books with goodwill when discussing an income statement. For the most part, goodwill is not an income item, it is a balance sheet item. Certainly inflated goodwill can distort a balance sheet, which is a big deal, but it does not usually affect the income statement as implied in the article.
The long and the short of the deal is that you do not stop fraud by making more rules; you stop fraud by quickly punishing crooks. More rules, poorly understood and rarely enforced, will increase the opportunity for fraud and decrease the vigilence for fraud.
People must be paid according to performance. I don't understand salaries, but I have never worked for anyone. I totally agree with the commission concept, it makes the effort more like one's own business.
Baseball teams aren't publicly held, hence, they have no motivation to inflate their earnings for stock price purposes. It was a simple statement of fact. Most businesses aren't publicly held either, as you state, but I fail to see the relavance of that at all.
And what on earth do you mean by asking what "side" I'm on? I was simply noting something interesting about major league baseball teams and how they cook their books in a similar but opposite way to publicly-held companies.
My point was, if you ship bricks (non-compliant merchandise) you may show it as accounts billable in one quarter, but you'll get hammered on returns (and lawsuits) in the next. Short term you might be able to boost the books, but doesn't anybody balance the corporate checkbook. What do accountants do to earn a paycheck?
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