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Too Little, Too Late? Why Riordan’s hurting
National Review Online ^ | February 27, 2002 | Arnold Steinberg

Posted on 02/27/2002 10:39:58 AM PST by xsysmgr

en Cory was elected California state controller in 1974. A Democrat, his winning slogan was "the man the oil companies fear the most."

A generation later, Richard Riordan's advisers chose Riordan's campaign slogan: "the Republican Gray Davis fears the most." But, read on.

Secretary of State Bill Jones and businessman Bill Simon are Riordan's Republican opponents in Tuesday's primary. Why does Riordan run no better against Davis than Jones or Simon? Jones has spent less than the Davis campaign's interest income. Simon has never run for office.

Truth is, Davis remains vulnerable. Republicans need a warm body. Someone who (a) has limited baggage, and (b) follows direction. But will the general election campaign against Davis be competent? In California, that would un-Republican!

To defeat Davis, the Republican nominee requires seasoned strategy and technical excellence. Davis must go negative to win. With his huge war chest and contingency plans, Davis attack ads on Simon are probably ready.

What happened to Riordan and his 30-point primary lead? Politically correct reporters originally focused only on Riordan's pluses. They failed to consider his legendary lack of discipline, coupled with a makeshift campaign of sycophants.

Even Davis bought into the pundit mythology — Riordan mania. Hence, Davis spent $6 million trashing Riordan in TV ads. Davis simply wanted to weaken Riordan for November. Davis could not anticipate the Riordan campaign's incompetence, notably its relentless repudiation of any possible Republican base. Consequently, not independently, the Davis attacks ads may cost Riordan the primary.

Riordan needs a solid majority Tuesday, not a weak plurality. It would require brilliance to rehabilitate Riordan for November.

It's the Davis ads, stupid. That's what Riordan's campaign wants you to believe. That Gray Davis interfered in the Republican primary.

Actually, Riordan's campaign left itself wide open. Riordan never defined himself. So, Davis did it for him.

Abruptly, Riordan now moves right. Either (a) he's too late for the primary, or (b) he seems expedient for the general.

Riordan fights a two-front war against Simon and Davis.

He now criticizes Simon for registering independent in New York, and for not voting in New Jersey. But Riordan may lack the credibility for the late attacks.

Riordan now accuses Davis of trying to "kidnap the Republican primary." Last month, that attack would have worked marvelously, producing a Republican backlash for Riordan. But Riordan's campaign typically runs four weeks late.

Simon now attacks Riordan for backing Clinton's 1993 tax hike and opposing Bush's 2001 tax cut. Simon implies Riordan would not be there for GWB in 2004.

The New York Times was just told by Riordan that a) he is the Bush candidate; b) "The White House is trying to keep their fingerprints off the campaign"; (pretty hard to do, since…) c) President Bush calls to monitor the campaign.

And what a campaign it is! The Los Angeles Times just reported on Warren Beatty and Hollywood anti-Bushies. The article described spouse Nancy Daly Riordan as "a Democratic Party rainmaker."

Last year, Dick Riordan followed different drummers. Democrat consultant Friend of Dick (FOD) Clint Reilly announced he was campaign co-chair. Republican Dan Schnur, former communications director for John McCain and Pete Wilson, advised Riordan. Then, Schnur accepted early retirement as a FOD. Riordan settled on former Gov. Pete Wilson-recommended Don Sipple as Riordan campaign chief architect. Sipple did Wilson's TV commercials. Sipple's Riordan spots never mentioned the word Republican. One Sipple spot even glimpsed Bill Clinton to further affront the Rep base. Riordan elevated Sipple with a second hat, chief strategist.

If Riordan were a plaintiff's attorney, he could sue his campaign for malpractice. His advisers' defense: "You made us do it." But why, for example, did they schedule Riordan at a dinner to honor Barbara Lee for opposing President Bush's war on terrorism? A dinner that Vietnam-vet Gray Davis turned down.

It's no wonder that Simon edges out Riordan in a half dozen turnout-adjusted polls, including four private and two public (Los Angeles Times, Field). Only Riordan's tracking poll shows him ahead.



TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: michaeldobbs
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1 posted on 02/27/2002 10:39:58 AM PST by xsysmgr
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To: xsysmgr
A slogan to remember -- that fits Riordan ...

"Compromise and accomodation are both forms of moral dishonesty." -- Unknown (to me)

2 posted on 02/27/2002 10:56:27 AM PST by thinktwice
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To: *Calgov2002
Bump List
3 posted on 02/27/2002 10:58:06 AM PST by Free the USA
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To: xsysmgr
Riordan settled on former Gov. Pete Wilson-recommended Don Sipple as Riordan campaign chief architect.

Ah yes, Pete Wilson-- the guy who could've stayed in the Senate for years as a wishy-washy RINO far less harmful than either of the pair there now-- but chose to run for governor so he could damage the party beyond repair.

Incompetent RINOs are much better off as legislators, where theur incompetence can be outshown by others, rather than running for governor where the buck stops. That (and job security) is the reason so many former governors (Carper, Carnahan, Shaheen, etc.) run for senate.

4 posted on 02/27/2002 11:23:30 AM PST by Rubber Duckie
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To: .38sw; 1 FELLOW FREEPER; absalom01; aimhigh; Alas; ALOHA RONNIE; ambrose; americalost; Angelique...
Big Super Simon Bump!
5 posted on 02/27/2002 11:59:59 AM PST by Gophack
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To: Rubber Duckie
Ah yes, Pete Wilson-- the guy who could've stayed in the Senate for years as a wishy-washy RINO far less harmful than either of the pair there now-- but chose to run for governor so he could damage the party beyond repair.

YES! BUMP TO THE TOP!!!!

6 posted on 02/27/2002 12:05:35 PM PST by ElkGroveDan
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To: Gophack
These political ads are almost comical when one realizes how full of BS they are. My "mute" button is getting quite a workout!

Just how involved or intune with the CA primary is GWB?

7 posted on 02/27/2002 12:06:59 PM PST by BornOnTheFourth
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Comment #8 Removed by Moderator

To: Rubber Duckie
What really comes through whenever Steinberg writes one of his "I Told You So" columns on Republican political races is Steinberg's belief that if the losing Republican candidate had only hired Steinberg as his political consultant then the Republican candidate in question would have won the race in a laugher.
9 posted on 02/27/2002 12:18:14 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: Rubber Duckie
Ah yes, Pete Wilson-- the guy who could've stayed in the Senate for years as a wishy-washy RINO far less harmful than either of the pair there now-- but chose to run for governor so he could damage the party beyond repair.

Pete Wilson came down with that familiar disease that's endemic to politicians -- Presidentitis. He desperately wanted to be President, and he (correctly) understood that his chances were much better using the California Governorship as a jumping-off point rather than the U.S. Senate.

Of course Gray Davis also suffers from Presidentitis. If Davis is somehow re-elected, he'll try to spin it as the greatest political come-back in history, and will immediately begin promoting himself for the Democratic nomination. Or failing that, he'd settle for the Vice-Presidential nomination.

10 posted on 02/27/2002 12:19:47 PM PST by dpwiener
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To: GroovyGuru
He's backing Riordan??????????? What the heck? That's scary. Doesn't matter, I'm not going to vote for him and I pray he loses BIG TIME!
11 posted on 02/27/2002 12:22:22 PM PST by BornOnTheFourth
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To: vbmoneyspender
Steinberg's belief that if the losing Republican candidate had only hired Steinberg as his political consultant then the Republican candidate in question would have won the race in a laugher.

Arnie is a smart consultant and an excellent pollster. If Riordan had hired Steinberg, I could well believe that Riordan would still be way ahead in the polls.

12 posted on 02/27/2002 12:23:56 PM PST by dpwiener
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To: GroovyGuru
Bush has made an all out push to drive the conservatives out of control of the State Central Committee and put the leftists in charge.
13 posted on 02/27/2002 12:26:50 PM PST by dalereed
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Comment #14 Removed by Moderator

Comment #15 Removed by Moderator

To: GroovyGuru
I'm still surprised (but I shouldn't be, I know) that there are enough dumb-@ss congress-critters to pass the CFR in the first place. I do think it should be renamed the Incumbent Protection Act. And what is up with Trent Lott? He needs to grow some cajones and do his job. He disgusts me. I'm with you, Bush needs to veto that bill and make it clear to the sheeple why. </dream>
16 posted on 02/27/2002 12:33:06 PM PST by BornOnTheFourth
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To: Rubber Duckie
LOL! A definite three-pointer! BTTT.
17 posted on 02/27/2002 12:33:42 PM PST by colorado tanker
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To: dpwiener
Then maybe he should label his columns as advertisements rather than as political columns.
18 posted on 02/27/2002 12:38:05 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: BornOnTheFourth
Well, I think that it's true that GWB's people pushed Riordan to run because they were under the misconception that a liberal needed to be the Republican nominee. HOWEVER, I don't think that they knew how bad Riordan was ... they had never met him before urging him to run. I think they have basically been hands off, but they don't want egg on their face.

Bush isn't going to do anything for Riordan, he would be a fool to do so. I think Bush and company will be pleasantly surprised with Bill Simon and his ability to win and broaden the base.

19 posted on 02/27/2002 12:40:58 PM PST by Gophack
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Comment #20 Removed by Moderator


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