Posted on 12/22/2001 6:01:53 AM PST by TopQuark
India and Pakistan on the brink of war |
FROM COOMI KAPOOR IN DELHI AND ZAHID HUSSAIN IN ISLAMABAD |
INDIA and Pakistan moved closer to a state of war yesterday, as Delhi recalled its envoy from Islamabad and sealed border crossings and both sides deployed thousands of reinforcements along their frontier. The sabre-rattling raised fears around the world that the two nuclear powers were on the brink of a new round of bloodshed, which would undermine the international coalitions war against terror in the region. India began the escalation when it withdrew Vijay Nambiar, its High Commissioner in Islamabad. The move is more than a symbolic diplomatic protest. Only twice before, in 1965 and again in 1971, has Delhi recalled its envoy. On each occasion the two countries were at war shortly afterwards. The action followed growing demands across the political spectrum in India for the Army to attack two militant Islamic groups that are based across the border in Pakistan and accused of carrying out the attack last week on the Indian Parliament that left 14 dead, including the five assailants. India and Pakistan last clashed in 1999 in a mountain battle at Kargil in the disputed Kashmir province. Hundreds of Indian and Pakistani troops were killed. This time the stakes are even higher. In addition to reinforcements along the Line of Control, which separates the two sides in Kashmir, tanks, artillery and infantry have also been deployed along the normally peaceful Rajasthan-Sind border. Yesterdays escalation began when India launched a verbal assault against its historic rival, accusing Pakistan of sponsoring last weeks suicide attack on the Indian Parliament. Pakistan hit back by charging the Indians with provocation and warning Delhi that it would defend itself if attacked. The threats and counter- threats caused alarm in Washington and London, which are preoccupied with trying to complete their operations against terrorist suspects in Afghanistan and instal a new government in Kabul. To achieve that they need stability in the region and the help of President Musharraf of Pakistan. Western sources said that they feared that the Pakistani leader was not able to control elements of his military and intelligence services, who were deliberately encouraging extremist groups in the hope of provoking a clash with India. Western officials privately appealed to India to show restraint, but the Government in Delhi was under mounting public pressure to respond decisively. In addition to recalling its envoy, India cut road and rail links, including the DelhiLahore bus service, which was opened only two years ago as part of a peace drive between the two neighbours. The Indian authorities alleged that the five gunmen involved in last weeks gun and grenade attack were members of Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Muhammad, two Kashmiri rebel groups based in Pakistan. Indian investigators claim that the conspiracy to storm Parliament House in Delhi was hatched in Pakistan and that the cellphone records of the dead assailants and the confessions of those arrested for abetting them establish Pakistans involvement. On Thursday the Indian Government produced one of the accused, an Indian named Kashmiri Mohammed Afzal, before the media. He said that the suicide squad was from Pakistan and that he was the link man between them and Jaish-e-Muhammad. The Indian Government is upset by what it considers the USs refusal to accept the evidence of Pakistans role in continuing to foment terrorism in India and believes that the US is deliberately turning a blind eye because it does not want General Musharraf to be destabilised. Pakistan has rejected Indias accusations that its intelligence service supported the attack and said that it would take no action until India supplied proof. India on Thursday rejected a US request to share its evidence with Pakistan so that General Musharraf could crack down on the militants. Most defence observers agree that the situation in the region is the most serious since May 1999 when Pakistans military intrusion in Kashmir brought the two nations close to a full war. The danger was averted when Pakistan pulled out its troops from Kashmirs Kargil mountain post under US pressure. |
The noose is tighter than you think. To win this one, people had better start planning their preparations carefully. BLOAT
This is what you get with democracy. That's why the globo-facsists love it so.
/Ignore
He warned me yesterday that I am "being WATCHED." I'm still quaking.
By Richard Reeves
WASHINGTON -- The harder part of the American war against terrorism began last week as Taliban and al-Qaida fighters in large numbers began to cross from Afghanistan into Pakistan along ancient smugglers' trails through the mountains that divide the countries. And then, in a plan from hell, a Pakistani suicide squad attacked the Indian Parliament meeting in New Delhi.
Moreover, these bases are rented from the Pakistani government but they are American. An attack on them is quite like attacking America itself. Indian government would never do that knowingly.
Justice, have you been expelled before only to come back under a new name? Perhaps, someone should tell you: you were expelled not because of your name but becasue of your name-calling, such as in the above-quotes sentence.
Could you please try to express your thoughts with a bit more courtesy expected and granted in a public place?
My belief is that the US foreign policy is to prevent destabilization, unless we can use it to promote an outcome that is demonstrably better. That wouldn't be the case in an Indian-Pakistani war.
We have Musharraf in our pocket. We forced him to disavow Islamic Fundamentalism and chart Pakistan's course toward the west. It was a major coup by President Bush, and the long term implications of having of pro-western Pakistan are large.
Concurrently, the US mended some fences with India and we stand on the threshold of a relationship which could reap enormous benefits for both countries.
All of this would be put at risk if those two countries go to war.
The problem is that we have limited influence with both of them. We can't force them to behave rationally, because their animosity toward each other is far greater than their concern for better relations with us.
But we certainly can't side with one country over the other. Not only would that jeopardize any future relationship with the country we chose against, but it's not possible for either country to truly win such a war. That's a tarbaby that we want nothing to do with.
I assume that we are using whatever influence we have with these countries to de-escalate the tension, because avoidance of war is our main goal. But despite the fact that the terrorists who were responsible of the parliament attack may have been Pakistanis, India is the one who is about to start a war.
If a German commits a crime in the US, even a grievous one, declaring war on Germany isn't one of the options we consider. If India has evidence that the Pakistani government was behind those attacks, then they should declare war and get it on. I'd support them.
But that's not what happened, and I think India knows that. We'll have to wait to see if this all bluff, or whether India is really going to start an almost certain nuclear war over this. I wish I had more confidence in their ability to be rational about this, but I don't.
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