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To: Dan from Michigan
Whittier was once reliably Republican, it's now got a Democrat advantage of a few points. But the 56th got the more Democrat side of Whittier than my 58th did or Bob Pacheco's 60th did. Still, it will be good territory.

Norwalk is, like Santa Fe Springs, majority Hispanic, but I refuse to believe this makes them liberals. They vote for the right, carefully crafted message. Hell, Bush the Elder carried Norwalk in '92, and that was a bad year for us (like many). And SFS is a largely industrial and commercial city, with few actual residents, targeting them will be a snap.

Cerritos and Artesia should be great area for us, they both also have a high Asian ancestry population, and are higher income areas. We have a slice of Lakewood in this area too, we should be good here.

Hawaiin Gardens is pretty Democrat, but small and easily dealt with.

Across the river we have our only city in Orange County, Buena Park, home to Knotts Berry Farm and Independence Hall West. We ought to do real good here even if the Dems have gained ground, plus the vaunted OC Republican machine should help us greatly.

128 posted on 11/05/2001 11:02:31 PM PST by StoneColdGOP
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To: StoneColdGOP
I was told it's a 3 way dem primary. We can't ask for better than that. If the dems eat their own badly enough, some of the voters will cross out for spite. Three wayers are the worst kind of primary as well. Ask Michigan voters. In 1994, the dems beat each other up badly in Michigan. Engler won with over 60%, and won all but two or three counties. In 1998, because of a three-way, FIEGER was the nominee and Fieger couldn't even win Genesee county(County with FLINT). That's where Michael Moore is from. That's where that nut prosecutor Art Busch if from(He's been in the news lately). GOP took the house and senate back that year, and never looked back since. 98 was bad nationwide, but not in Michigan.

I wouldn't write off Hispanic districts either, especially in local elections. And that part of Whittier is a home base, and many people vote hometown. That "hometown' vote carried Mike Rogers by 150 votes. He took 65% in Livingston County, while Bush took 60% there.

Orange County's machine jumping in is always a positive. Earlier I compared this to Kildee's seat. Kildee almost lost in 94 and it was close in 96 too. 96 was a VERY bad year in Michigan. This guy has been around for almost 30 years as well.

129 posted on 11/06/2001 7:12:11 AM PST by Dan from Michigan
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