Maybe so, but people who are out of work 12 months from now are not going to be friendly to incumbents - - ie, if the economy hasn't turned around, the GOP could lose the House. If Bush isn't thinking very hard about how to avoid that prospect - - primarily with real, signficant tax cuts for investors and other job-creators - - then he's cruising for a bruising during the last two years of what could be a one-term presidency.