Good analysis Travis, but I do think that there are lots of Afghans who are getting somewhat tired of their
Wahhabi "guest," and this may yet work in our favor.
It is important not to make him into another Robin Hood, though, and unsuccessful attempts to hunt him will inevitably do that. Any actions must not be telegraphed. There was little he could have done to direct these attacks from where he was staying.
I think that Osama's evasion plan will not be dependant on his Afghan hosts. He has given this a LOT of thought....