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CNN says Republicans HOLD CONTROL of the US Senate 52-48 if the average poll error occurs for Republicans (Vid at link)
Eric Dougherty via X ^ | 10/16/2026 | Eric Dougherty

Posted on 10/16/2026 12:03:38 PM PDT by Vendome

THEY'D LOSE MICHIGAN.

"The average error rate, off by 3.7 points!"

"Siren warning for Democrats...if we get this average error rate...THIS is what we're talking about...Republicans would get 52 seats, Democrats would get 48."

In 2024, Mike Rogers came within roughly 19,000 votes of winning Michigan. HE CAN DO IT THIS TIME

The polls have underestimated Trump voters in every one of his elections. If they vote, we win.

This is why ALL OF US in EVERY STATE need to vote no matter what

Texas, Ohio, Alaska, Maine, Michigan, it's all winnable!


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: and; get; out; vote

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1 posted on 10/16/2026 12:03:38 PM PDT by Vendome
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If Democrats had any chance in November this segment would have never been aired.
Dem assets are being prepared to riot.
Military assets are foaming at the mouth to crush this rebellion that began the moment Trump said to peacefully go home(which they refused)back in 2020.


2 posted on 10/16/2026 12:04:00 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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Joe Rogan says it best in this clip...

Why Americans

ARE going to vote REPUBLICAN RED in November!
https://twitter.com/i/status/2110485372451029467


3 posted on 10/16/2026 12:06:35 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: Vendome

Yep I fully concur!!


4 posted on 10/16/2026 12:10:25 PM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: Vendome
DONT GET COMPLACENT

GOP TURNOUT IS KEY TO WINNING ELECTIONS

Democrat turnout is nearly constant they vote regularly no matter what. dont even bother arguing issues with them

*ALL* election are won or lost based on republican turnout.

5 posted on 10/16/2026 12:11:41 PM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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To: Vendome

Regardless, I could see Senate Leader Thune allow a vote on on a Trump impeachment effort by the Democrat House. Yes, he’d encourage it.


6 posted on 10/16/2026 12:15:31 PM PDT by fwdude (Why is there a "far/radical right," but damned if they'll admit that there is a far/radical left)
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To: Vendome

62 would be better


7 posted on 10/16/2026 12:16:05 PM PDT by butlerweave (Fateh)
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To: Vendome

Wow. This is like the eighth variant of the original CNN clip. Enten gave this a probability of 1:5. Which isn’t terrible. But this was a CNN clip like a week ago and I lost count of how many different people have glommed onto it.


8 posted on 10/16/2026 12:19:15 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man.)
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To: fwdude

Lots of talk Thune is out as leader - majority or minority.


9 posted on 10/16/2026 12:23:44 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man.)
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To: Merrick
Lots of talk Thune is out as leader - majority or minority.

Please don't tease me.

10 posted on 10/16/2026 12:25:50 PM PDT by fwdude (Why is there a "far/radical right," but damned if they'll admit that there is a far/radical left)
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To: fwdude

RE: Lots of talk Thune is out as leader - majority or minority.
(reply) Please don’t tease me.


Because when we turn leave the forum,
“We’re not in FReepland any more, Toto.”

At least we can dream.


11 posted on 10/16/2026 12:36:11 PM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
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To: Vendome

Is that CNN guy on several types of mood drugs? 😛💉💊🩹

Another network mused that the Dems may miss the majority and end up 50-50 with JD Vance voting to break the ties.

And possibly Dems winning 51-49 but awaiting Fetterman’s decision on every vote.

Interesting times.


12 posted on 10/16/2026 12:42:06 PM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
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To: Vendome

Well that’s a relief. I guess now I don’t have to vote.


13 posted on 10/16/2026 12:52:03 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (The issue is never the issue. The issue is always the revolution.)
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To: fwdude

Obviously it’s only talk. But I know people - I live here. IF they say there’s talk there really is talk. We can hope.


14 posted on 10/16/2026 12:55:05 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man.)
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To: Merrick

I never understand how Republicans can pick the absolute WORST members of their group to be their leaders. I understand how they might want to moderate their choice to try to please as many people as possible, but Thune isn’t even a moderate. He is one of the ONLY senators who wouldn’t work to push the SAVE Act through, as important as it is.

Democrats couldn’t have a better Republican friend than Thune.


15 posted on 10/16/2026 12:59:16 PM PDT by fwdude (Why is there a "far/radical right," but damned if they'll admit that there is a far/radical left)
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To: frank ballenger

No - and if you go to the actual video Enten lays out 4 scenarios.

1. Republicans sweep.
2. Republican’s keep House and lose Senate.
3. Republicans keep Senate and lose House.
4. Democrats sweep.

He then breaks down what would have to happen for each scenario to play out and what likelihood he gives each scenario.

He gives #1 like 1% likelihood.
He gives #2 like 5% likelihood.
In order for #3 to play out the polls would have to be skewed toward Democrats on the order of 4+% to play out, and then he shows that in fact that HAS been true in the battleground states for just about every election cycle the last decade plus - so it’s not crazy to believe that possibility (again - his takes not mine) - and he gives this scenario a 22% likelihood.
For #4 he says the polls are fine, it’s what we should expect, and gives it the rest of the probability of like 70%.

I don’t remember all the numbers perfectly. The clip was aired by CNN almost a week ago. So, yeah, clipping this out only makes it look like this is what Enten is predicting - and he’s not.

Now, I think there’s a good chance this actually will play out - perhaps 50:50 - but Enten gives it about 1:5.


16 posted on 10/16/2026 1:03:54 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man.)
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To: fwdude

Thune *WAS* picked my RINOs and Democrats. Every MAGA option was vetoed by the usual suspects: Cornyn, Tillis...

They’re gone - well, most of them.

I don’t guarantee we’ll get MAGA for Leader, but they are definitely rumbling about Thune’s head.


17 posted on 10/16/2026 1:05:51 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man.)
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To: Vendome

And now we here in FR believe in polls???? Whatever. Too many people only hear what they want to hear. When Trump offers to pay (bribe) every US citizen $5k if we win, Sum Ting is very Wong.


18 posted on 10/16/2026 1:12:56 PM PDT by know.your.why
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To: Vendome

That would be a 52-48 Senate WITHOUT McConnell, Tillis, Cassidy, Cornyn and Ernst (also Graham, since his sister has no influence).

That’s a MAJOR improvement.


19 posted on 10/16/2026 1:18:23 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: Merrick

Thanks I appreciate that as I honestly don’t spend much if any time on CNN except in Fox news clips.

Thanks for the details. I really miss
Steve Burguiere the old sidekick of Glenn Beck who quit the show. He used to give voter demographics and qualified poll results and internal numbers, the stuff that as a lifelong politics addict with a political science degree I eat up like a hot fudge sundae. Now he runs his online betting service on all topics.


20 posted on 10/16/2026 1:21:01 PM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
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