How Reform UK would perform in general election if barnstorming council results were repeated is revealed

The Sun ^ | 9 May 2026 | Kate Ferguson

[MinorityRepublican]

REFORM UK would be just three seats short of a majority in Parliament if local election results were repeated in a general election, analysis suggests.

Nigel Farage’s party would hoover up 323 seats in the Commons, based on research body More In Common’s projection.

Just four members of the current Cabinet would survive if the bloodbath was replicated at a general election.

These are Sir Keir Starmer, Wes Streeting, Douglas Alexander and Ian Murray.

Reform would beat Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Pat McFadden, John Healey, Bridget Phillipson, Ed Miliband, Liz Kendall.

Heidi Alexander, Emma Reynolds and Lisa Nandy.

The Greens would oust Hilary Benn, Peter Kyle, Darren Jones, Steve Reed and David Lammy.

Jo Stevens would get beaten by Plaid in Wales while Shabana Mahmood would be ousted by the independents.

Although the analysis is based on the assumption people vote the same way in a local and national election, something which is rarely true.

Mr Farage held a victory rally in Essex on Friday night where he boasted that he had “crushed the red wall”.

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TOPICS: United Kingdom
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[adorno]

How Reform UK would perform in general election if barnstorming council results were repeated is revealed

I hate having to read a headline or a sentence, 2 or 3 or more times, before I can decipher what it's trying to say.

[lasereye]

The results suggest that the Conservative and Reform parties combined will be a majority. I would hope that the Conservative MP’s would join with Reform to form a government. Since Conservative is now a misnomer we can’t assume that.

[dfwgator]

I would hope that the Conservative MP’s would join with Reform to form a government.

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Let them die.

[MinorityRepublican]

The results suggest that the Conservative and Reform parties combined will be a majority. I would hope that the Conservative MP’s would join with Reform to form a government.

Not going to happen because Reform is a "far-right" party.

[House Atreides]

“ The results suggest that the Conservative and Reform parties combined will be a majority. I would hope that the Conservative MP’s would join with Reform to form a government. Since Conservative is now a misnomer we can’t assume that.”
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That unlikely, sadly. Reform in the UK and AfD in Germany are considered THE main enemy by all the other parties.

[KarlInOhio]

A total of Reform 323 vs Deform 308. The various parties of Deform will get now even more desperate, doing things like seeing which party has the best chance of beating Reform in each district and having everyone else drop out to prevent anti-Reform voters from splitting their votes.