Posted on 12/06/2025 5:00:43 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
U.S. President Donald Trump's demand that Republican-led states redraw their congressional maps to help his party retain control of Congress in next year's midterm elections has triggered a national battle over redistricting, with the eventual winner still unclear.
The fight began when Republicans in Texas, the most populous Republican state, approved a rare mid-decade new congressional map aimed at flipping five House seats now occupied by Democrats. California, the most populous Democratic state, soon responded by initiating its own redistricting effort targeting five Republican-held districts. Other states, both Republican and Democratic, have followed suit or threatened to do so.
Republicans won a House majority in 2024 by a margin of only three seats, so every district could prove pivotal. Here is how the conflict is unfolding across the country:
REPUBLICAN GAINS
TEXAS - UP TO FIVE SEATS
The U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday cleared the way for a new Republican-backed map that targets five Democratic-held seats, boosting Trump's nationwide push for friendlier congressional maps. The court's 6-3 decision, with the three liberals dissenting, overturned a lower court ruling that had blocked the map after concluding that it likely discriminated against racial minorities.
Republican Texas Governor Greg Abbott signed the map into law in August. Weeks earlier, more than 50 Democratic lawmakers fled the state, temporarily preventing a vote, but they ultimately returned after drawing national attention to the issue. Republicans already control 25 of Texas' 38 seats under a Republican-drawn map from 2021.
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
Oh how the Dems cry when their tactics are used against them. You’d think it was the end of the world.
If everything below happened, it would be a net gain for Reps of 6 seats. See the totals at the bottom.
REPUBLICAN GAINS
TEXAS - UP TO FIVE SEATS
Current: Reps 25 Dems 13
New: Reps 30 Dems 8
MISSOURI - ONE SEAT (Note 1)
Current: Reps 6 Dems 2
New: Reps 7 Dems 1
OHIO - ZERO TO THREE SEATS
Current: Reps 10 Dems 5
New: Reps 13 Dems 2
NORTH CAROLINA - ONE SEAT
Current: Reps 10 Dems 4
New: Reps 11 Dems 3
INDIANA - TWO SEATS, BUT FATE UNCERTAIN
Current: Reps 7 Dems 2
New: Reps 9 Dems 0
FLORIDA - POSSIBLY UP TO FIVE SEATS
Current: Reps 20 Dems 8
New: Reps 25 Dems 3
KANSAS - EFFORT STALLED (Note 2)
Current: Reps 3 Dems 1
New: Reps 3 Dems 1
Current Reps: 81 New Reps: 98 Current Dems: 35 New Dems: 18
Rep Gain: 17 Dem Loss: -17
DEMOCRATIC GAINS
CALIFORNIA - UP TO FIVE SEATS
Current: Reps 9 Dems 43
New: Reps 4 Dems 48
VIRGINIA - POSSIBLY TWO TO FOUR SEATS (Note 3)
Current: Reps 5 Dems 6
New: Reps 1 Dems 10
UTAH - ONE SEAT (Note 4)
Current: Reps 4 Dems 0
New: Reps 3 Dems 1
MARYLAND - POSSIBLY ONE SEAT
Current: Reps 1 Dems 7
New: Reps 0 Dems 8
ILLINOIS - UNLIKELY
Current: Reps 3 Dems 14
New: Reps 3 Dems 14
NEW YORK - UNLIKELY BEFORE 2028
Current: Reps 7 Dems 19
New: Reps 7 Dems 19
Current Reps: 29 New Reps: 18 Current Dems: 89 New Dems: 100
Dem Gain: 11 Rep Loss: -11
Gains / Losses
Republican 220 + 17 = 237 - 11 = 226
Democratic* 215 - 17 = 198 + 11 = 209
Total 435
* Both vacancies are in heavily favored dem districts.
Note 1: Missouri’s two Dem districts center on St Louis and Kansas City. Not sure how the KC district can be gerrymander to make it Rep. The 3rd district is very gerrymandered. It don’t see why.
Note 2: Included here as it was on the original list. Again, don’t see redistricting actually doing anything.
Note 3: Used worst case numbers.
Note 4: How is Utah even in the mix for the Dems?
Salt Lake City is very liberal.
Not a peep from Georgia where the 2nd district could easily be redrawn Red.
In the OVERALL scheme of things we should come out ahead-50 states. Why can’t they give us a ballpark figure?
Democrats don’t mess around. We do.
You are correct. The democrats and republicans both Gerrymander districts, but the Dems do it much more effectively as in California, New York State, Illinois and other states. What Texas and other Red States are doing is simply defense.
As of January 2025, California is represented by 43 Democrats and 9 Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives. The state has a total of 52 congressional seats. This is simply defense against what the Democrats have been doing most effectively for decades. I do not like it at all but it is reality.
Note this. Trump received 38% of the vote in California. He would never win California. Per Wiki "As of January 2025, California is represented by 43 Democrats and 9 Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives. The state has a total of 52 congressional seats. 38% of Californians voted for Trump but they only have 17% of congressional representative. California is Gerrymandered in the extreme. Republican states are only doing self defense by their Gerrymandering.
It is ugly disenfranchisement of the voter.
Considering Democrat tactics being used, I think the Repubs must return fire in any lawful way. We all know by now what a Democrat-led state looks like & it ain’t pretty from where I sit.
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