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THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- JULY 2025
U.S. BLS ^ | 8/1/2025 | NA

Posted on 08/01/2025 6:01:36 AM PDT by Redmen4ever

Total nonfarm payroll employment changed little in July (+73,000) ...

(Excerpt) Read more at bls.gov ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: employment; jobsreport; unemployment
+73K ... a little light ... earlier in the weak we saw robust growth of GDP during the 2nd Quarter, maybe some slowing going into the 3rd Quarter
1 posted on 08/01/2025 6:01:36 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

Why is the ADP number higher than BLS?


2 posted on 08/01/2025 6:54:33 AM PDT by kaktuskid
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To: kaktuskid
Does ADP do more private sector payroll?

Perhaps BLS includes government jobs.


3 posted on 08/01/2025 7:08:29 AM PDT by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: kaktuskid

The ADP number is an estimate (based on its extensive payroll records) (ADP is a payroll services company). It’s sometimes higher than and sometimes lower than the BLS number. Of the two numbers, the BLS number is considered definitive; however, it is revised the next month (upon the receipt of late-arriving data) and again annually (when the BLS adjusts its sector weights). I’m sorry for the noise.

The household survey, from which we get the unemployment rate, is more stable; but, isn’t considered as informative as the jobs number from the establishment survey.


4 posted on 08/01/2025 7:15:48 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

We all know the Bidenistas were inflating the hiring numbers with massive gov employee hirings plus counting in illegals.

And a new administration’s policies don’t begin until halfway through the first year of their term.

And many businesses weren’t hiring until they found out what the future tax rates will be.


5 posted on 08/01/2025 8:31:14 AM PDT by kaktuskid
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