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Britain's Ambrey Reports Risk of NATO-Russia "Non-Linear Warfare" in Baltic Sea
TASS ^ | 5/20/25

Posted on 05/20/2025 9:31:34 AM PDT by marshmallow

The British maritime security firm warns that "should a future Russia-Ukraine peace agreement fail to address EU-UK sanctions on Russian hydrocarbon exports, Russia is likely to reallocate its security resources, previously concentrated on the Black Sea, to the Baltic region"

LONDON, May 20. /TASS/. Attempts by European nations to detain allegedly Russia-linked merchant ships in the Baltic Sea are heightening the risk of "non-linear warfare" between NATO and Russia, according to a report by the British maritime security firm Ambrey.

The assessment indicates that, in the near term, there will be "heightened maritime security risks, particularly around vessels transporting oil from or to Baltic ports, including the increased likelihood of arbitrary detentions, military posturing, and obstructions to freedom of navigation."

Ambrey warns that "should a future Russia-Ukraine peace agreement fail to address EU-UK sanctions on Russian hydrocarbon exports, Russia is likely to reallocate its security resources, previously concentrated on the Black Sea, to the Baltic region. This shift could amplify the prospects for non-linear warfare, with merchant shipping serving as a vector for coercive leverage and political signaling," the report states.

On May 13, the Estonian Navy, assisted by NATO aircraft, attempted to compel the Gabon-flagged vessel Jaguar to leave neutral international waters and proceed to an area suitable for detention. Estonia threatened to ram the ship, whose crew included four Russian citizens. Despite these threats, the vessel disregarded Tallinn’s demands and continued toward its final destination, the Russian port of Primorsk. Subsequently, Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna claimed that a Russian fighter jet was airborne during the seizure attempt and that it allegedly violated Estonian airspace.

As Ambrey noted, the Jaguar vessel had been blacklisted by Britain on May 9 as part of a crackdown on Russia's "shadow fleet." London considers the vessel to be transporting Russian oil in breach.......

(Excerpt) Read more at tass.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bidensfolly; botched2022treaty; consequences; europe; omgpoootler; omgruzzzia; rabidrussophobes; sanctions; shadowfleet; zeepwarmustcontinue

1 posted on 05/20/2025 9:31:34 AM PDT by marshmallow
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To: marshmallow
Risk of?

It already started. The U.S. blew up the Russian-German pipeline.

2 posted on 05/20/2025 9:42:54 AM PDT by T.B. Yoits
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To: marshmallow
Ambrey warns that "[...] Russia is likely to reallocate its security resources, previously concentrated on the Black Sea, to the Baltic region."

...where they will likewise meet with failure.

Russia was unable to maintain naval supremacy in the Black Sea. Their flagship, the Moskva, is currently patrolling the sea bed. The Rostov-on-Don (a Kilo-class submarine) was likewise destroyed. Add to that various frigates, landing ships, etc.

If the paltry forces of Ukraine can inflict that level of damage on the "pride of the Russian Black Sea fleet," what could NATO forces achieve in the Baltic - which is, essentially, a NATO lake?

With the accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO, the entire sea is now bottled up.

Good luck, Putin!

Regards,

3 posted on 05/20/2025 9:52:09 AM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: marshmallow

The EU is determined to start a war with Russia. The globalists need war to fill their coffers.


4 posted on 05/20/2025 10:03:09 AM PDT by Highest Authority (DemonRats are pure EVIL)
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To: marshmallow
Ambrey Reports Risk of NATO-Russia "Non-Linear Warfare"

Ambrey Reports that Piracy returns with nicely printed Letters Of Marque And Reprisal.

5 posted on 05/20/2025 10:05:47 AM PDT by Navy Patriot (President Trump Decisively Won Popular & E.C., Celebrate Recivilization!)
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To: marshmallow

non linear? Is that like a circular firing squad?


6 posted on 05/20/2025 10:10:26 AM PDT by xp38
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To: marshmallow

It’s now known as the NATO lake


7 posted on 05/20/2025 10:32:47 AM PDT by DownInFlames (P)
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To: alexander_busek

“If the paltry forces of Ukraine can inflict that level of damage on the “pride of the Russian Black Sea fleet,” what could NATO forces achieve in the Baltic”

Ukraine didn’t. The British technicians, US advisors, targeting, reconnaissance and coordination did.

And what could NATO forces do in the Baltic? Ultimately get themselves nuked if they start attacking Russian shipping directly.


8 posted on 05/20/2025 10:34:21 AM PDT by DesertRhino (2016 Star Wars, 2020 The Empire Strikes Back, 2025... RETURN OF THE JEDI...Low IQ morons also have t)
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To: marshmallow
A Trump Republican? Need a little something to boost the blood pressure?

The short, comprehensive & common sense-spot-on commentary at the link below should do it!

HINT: For decades, the GLOBALIST run corporations have been setting us up for THE NEW WORLD ORDER! They hate Trump because he's on to them!

IF YOU CARE, SHARE!

https://imprimis.hillsdale.edu/new-thinking-needed-on-national-defense/

9 posted on 05/20/2025 10:52:49 AM PDT by Dick Bachert
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To: DesertRhino
And what could NATO forces do in the Baltic? Ultimately get themselves nuked if they start attacking Russian shipping directly.

Always the last-ditch argument of the Putin supporters here: What is essentially a "reductio ad absurdum" or "argumentum ad extremum."

Ultimately, you are arguing that we (the collective West) never have any choice, when confronted with naked Russian aggression, than to roll over and accede to their demands, however unreasonable, because "nukes."

I seem to remember something about the U.K. and France also having nuclear capabilities - so Putin should watch his step.

Regards,

10 posted on 05/20/2025 12:24:28 PM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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