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As Americans Head To The Polls, Harris’s 'Wrong Track' Numbers Give Trump A Decisive Edge
TIPP ^ | November 5,2024 | TIPPINSIGHTS EDITORIAL BOARD

Posted on 11/05/2024 10:51:38 AM PST by Hojczyk

While the above analysis predicts a Trump victory, we must caveat it with this statement. While there's a strong correlation between right/wrong track polls and election outcomes, a strong correlation alone does not statistically mean that an election outcome can be caused by it. In other words, correlation does not equate to causation.

Other factors (likeability, age, Trump's policy accomplishments balanced against his loose rhetoric, Harris's never-ending flip-flops, Harris's screaming personality expressing faux rage at anything Trump) are all in the stew.

No matter who wins, there’s one sure winner: The American voter who can finally leave all the nastiness behind and return to living life.

(Excerpt) Read more at tippinsights.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
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1 posted on 11/05/2024 10:51:38 AM PST by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

But women turn out to the polls more than men, and those women have been convinced abortion is on the ballot.

Abortion has become a sacrament to these women.


2 posted on 11/05/2024 10:54:43 AM PST by brownsfan (It's going to take real, serious, hard times to wake the American public.)
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To: Hojczyk

I sure hope Trump will win and his coattails will create a Republican controlled House and Senate. I am afraid that there will be months of court battled, Democratic Party, Deep State and foreign country disinformation, along with dirty tricks by the Deep State before Trump is declared President.


3 posted on 11/05/2024 10:57:08 AM PST by Robert357
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To: Hojczyk
"Trump's...loose rhetoric" -- while most of us see a strong leader constantly on message. "Loose rhetoric" is a pejorative.

Any author who writes...

"No matter who wins, there’s one sure winner: The American voter who can finally leave all the nastiness behind and return to living life."
...is hopelessly naive and clearly does not understand Democrats and what they are capable of.

As long as Democrats continue to resort to their hideous Hitler, Nazi, and Fascist name-calling, urge their followers to assassinate President Trump, demand the unlimited murder of innocent babies, keep ruining the lives of children with their "transgender" fetish, and put mentally ill men with outrageous tranny costumes in our libraries to groom our tots, there will be NO "returning to normal life."

And the Dems are not about to give those policies up.

4 posted on 11/05/2024 10:58:36 AM PST by ProtectOurFreedom (“President Trump sells out Madison Square Garden -- Kamala sells out America”)
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To: Robert357

This time, everyone and their dogs will have standing.


5 posted on 11/05/2024 10:59:52 AM PST by bgill
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To: All

I’m enjoying thinking of the agita Biden is experiencing.

The egomaniac is gloating as Harris heads for defeat.....
thinking HE would have been the winning candidate.

drjill is especially aggrieved since her political
ambitions have gone down the tubes, as well.

Hunter seems to be the only winner....if he gets the pardon.


6 posted on 11/05/2024 11:04:37 AM PST by Liz
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To: Hojczyk

She’s lost support from Blacks, Hispanics, and even Arab Americans. And that could cost her MI with the Arab vote that likely came out in full to help Biden.


7 posted on 11/05/2024 11:07:17 AM PST by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: Hojczyk

Just voted and on the way back to the parking lot, guy pulls in riding a Harley blasting Kid Rock’s Born Free. Had to give him a smile and a fist bump. He told me he had to do it today.


8 posted on 11/05/2024 11:07:30 AM PST by AlanSC (Guns have two enemies: Rust and Politicians )
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To: brownsfan

9 posted on 11/05/2024 11:09:53 AM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: brownsfan

And men are turning out because they are tired of being denigrated by lib women. And because they Know They are being replaced by Illegals.
Etc fn cetra!


10 posted on 11/05/2024 11:15:58 AM PST by Harpotoo (Being a socialist is a lot easier than having to WORK like the rest of US:-))
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To: Harpotoo

“And men are turning out because they are tired of being denigrated by lib women.”

I’ll believe it when it happens. History says women will turn out in greater numbers.


11 posted on 11/05/2024 11:17:48 AM PST by brownsfan (It's going to take real, serious, hard times to wake the American public.)
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To: Hojczyk
The American voter who can finally leave all the nastiness behind and return to living life.

If Harris prevails, nothing could be further from the truth.

12 posted on 11/05/2024 11:18:48 AM PST by CodeJockey
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To: Hojczyk

“The American voter who can finally leave all the nastiness behind and return to living life.”

…uhhh no. So uplifting yet sooo incorrect.


13 posted on 11/05/2024 11:21:10 AM PST by albie (U)
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To: Hojczyk
Two thirds of Americans say that the country's on the wrong track.
14 posted on 11/05/2024 11:30:03 AM PST by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: Hojczyk

Boy, fun to see the downer trolls here as well. I wonder how they would have been acting if FR were around in 1980, lol?


15 posted on 11/05/2024 11:37:12 AM PST by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: OttawaFreeper

Half of them are butt-hurt DeSantis fans that just can’t let it go that Trump beat their boy decisively.


16 posted on 11/05/2024 12:01:55 PM PST by SoConPubbie (Trump has all the right enemies, DeSantis has all the wrong friends.)
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To: Hojczyk

https://www.wsj.com/graphics/30-years-of-polling/

Oddly enough, as in 2022, the trend of polls showing the nation on the wrong track does not indicate the incumbent party will be voted out.


17 posted on 11/05/2024 12:34:05 PM PST by buckalfa (They say nothing is impossible, yet I accomplish nothing every day.)
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To: buckalfa

In 2022, the GOPe did not have a Contract With America or really anything else to motivate people to vote Republican. Also, the red states got redder because of conservatives moving from NY and CA to areas like TX and FL.


18 posted on 11/05/2024 12:38:04 PM PST by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: albie

I listened to Baris and Barnes about the election and polling. Rich Baris said he’s used to shy Trump voters but he’s polled more than a few terrified Trump voters this year. They are terrified they could be put on a list and have the FBI investigate. He said this is America and after what has happened with republicans being jailed and arrested while lefties get nothing, he understands.

He also tweeted today, Democrats have TDS. And Republicans have PTSD after 2020 and 2022.


19 posted on 11/05/2024 12:55:34 PM PST by Betty Jane
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To: brownsfan

HALF of those abortion only voters are beyond pregnancy stage.


20 posted on 11/05/2024 3:26:06 PM PST by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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