PA Mail In Ballot Numbers--What they don't want you to know

University of Florida Election Lab ^ | November 4, 2024 | University of Fl Election Lab

[Windcatcher]

I agree. I don’t see how she wins with those numbers. There is no enthusiasm on their side. It shouldn’t be close, it should be a Trump blowout.

[HamiltonJay]

Been discussed everywhere.

republicans are flat out winning the early vote outright in all but 2 swing states.

MI and PA are only swing states where Republicans aren’t flat out winning the early/mail in vote.

And in both states the Democrat margin is well below where it was in 2020

[Political Junkie Too]

I just posted this in the PA thread: New Leaked Memo Confirms Democrats’ Alarming Turnout Crisis in Key Battleground States

---

Former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter warned Democrats that Kamala will need to 600,000 ballot vote margin over Trump in Philadelphia on Election Day to overtake the former President in Pennsylvania.

Comparing the Pennsylvania early vote by county to the active voter registrations by county, there are 566,895 unvoted active Democrat registrations remaining in Philadelphia county and 107,110 remaining unvoted Republican registrations.

The Pittsburg area (Allegheny County) has 334,506 remaining unvoted active Democrat registrations and 206,242 remaining unvoted active Republican registrations.

---

-PJ

[cgbg]

Great post and bookmarked post.

I will be referencing it often in the next twenty four + hours to hold the hands of the pearl clutcher/black pill crowd.

[AZJeep]

Yeah.
I do not think that Democrats are advertising their voters to vote on the election day.
Reps used to do it, but this year they changed and asked voters to vote early. It seems to be working for them, there are more Republicans voting earlier, but obviously, those voters will not vote on election day.

But less democrats voting early, that looks like a big problem for them! I doubt most of those will show tomorrow.

[HamiltonJay]

She’s not winning PA…. She won’t perform at Hillary levels let alone Biden levels here.

[MinorityRepublican]

🚨NORTH CAROLINA EARLY VOTING UPDATE 🚨

🔴: 33.2%
🔵: 32.3%
⚪️: 33.8%

Projected Independent Lean (Modeled):

🔴: 49.38% (+ 16.18%)
🔵: 46.72%
⚪️: 3.9% (True Independent)

Let’s keep this up in North Carolina! The election is tomorrow and we need to SHOW UP AND SHOW OUT 🗳️…— Chloe Hutzler (@HutzlerChloe) November 4, 2024

[gitmo]

I live in North Carolina, but I’m not going to vote tomorrow.

They get mad if you vote more than once.

[apillar]

Another thing about North Carolina is the general consensus among pundits is that a democrat needs 20% of the electorate to be black to win. In 2020 the share of the electorate that was black was 19.4% and Biden lost by a small margin (1.5%).

So far in the 2024 early voting, the black vote total is only 17.7%. So, for Harris to have a chance, there would have to be historic black election day turnout even higher than when Obama ran (~25%). And with little enthusiasm from black in early voting, I don't see that happening.

[Disambiguator]

ED = Electile Dysfunction

😆

[tinacart]

I voted on the last day of early voting in AZ. Unless unable to walk I will never “mail in” my responsibility as an American. There were years when I would be 400 miles away caring for a sick relative or something, but I drove home election day to vote, then drove return trip (my dream was to be a truck driver anyway, so it was easy peasy for me). I wrestled with even early voting; I don’t think doing as communists do is the answer. STOPPING them is. But since this election was do or die, I did what my President requested and “banked the vote.” I pray that we can end the criminal Demoncrat cabal, so this insanity ends! I will say the line was crazy where I went, and I heard and saw a lot of pro-Trump and my voting place is on college grounds so that was great to see!