Posted on 10/21/2024 4:11:52 PM PDT by george76
Growing gap between the FBI’s annual crime victimization survey and its tabulations of reported crime indicates worsening trends in theft.
Annual FBI crime victimization surveys show violent crime is up 10.4% and property crime is up 6.4% between 2019 and 2023.
Each year, the FBI releases headline crime report data for the calendar year prior, and a separate crime victimization survey that asks Americans what crimes they have been the victims of. Comparing these reports provides insight into crime reporting rates and the accuracy of crime statistics.
While earlier reporting demonstrated that theft is worsening and often underreported, the growing divergence between the FBI’s annual crime victimization survey and its tabulations of reported crime indicates worsening trends in theft.
However, recent changes in how crime reporting data is collected, along with anomalous 2020 COVID-era data and reporting, have muddied the waters.
The FBI set a January 1, 2021 deadline back in 2016 for agencies to transition from the paper-based Summary Reporting System, which reports each incident of crime with the worst crime committed in the incident, with the computer-based National Incident-Based Reporting System, which can log up to 10 crimes per incident. But 40% of law enforcement agencies didn’t make the change in time. This included most agencies in populous California, New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Florida, and the two largest agencies: New York Police Department and Los Angeles Police Department.
As a result, reported violent and property crime dropped 15.9% and 27.3% respectively between 2020 and 2021, while at the same time victimization for violent crime rose 0.9% and property decreased 3.3%. The ratio of reported violent crimes to victimization declined from 85.6% in 2021 to 71.4% in 2021, while that of property crimes declined from 51.6% to 38.8%, highlighting how the 2021 reported crime figures are the product of a muddled transition in data collection.
Data did improve for 2022 and 2023, with only 17% of agencies failing to submit at least three months of NIBRS data in 2022, and 16,009 agencies covering 95.2% of the national population reporting for 2023. The full 2023 data released at the end of September now shows that violent crime reporting rates — reports divided by victimizations — for property crime are back to 2019 levels, but that property crime reporting rates are 14.4% below 2019 levels, highlighting perceptions that Americans just aren’t reporting as much of the property crime that happens to them.
Do they count themselves in crime stats?
Americans Never Believed Democrats’ Lies About Crime in the First Place.. FBI quietly revised its 2022 crime data which originally showed a 2.1 percent decline in violent crime. Now, it shows a 4.5 percent increase in violent criminal activity, which includes thousands more incidents than it did at first.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4271545/posts
New system is voluntary and a report I posted a couple weeks ago showed a third of LEO agencies not reporting. Including LA and NYC. Odd eh?
40 percent of police departments are no longer sharing crime data with the FBI.. now relying on estimations to produce its fake crime rates..
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4271545/posts
What is stupid is the FBI reported the numbers knowing the data sets were incomparable. They should have only used reporting cities in both years. You can’t have NY and LA in 2019 or 2022 and then conveniently not include them for 2023. It would be like the census reporting a declining population because they didn’t include California and New York in the most recent report.
bttt
Yeah right
Whatever they say, multiply by 4.
You could probably double or triple those stats and they’d be more correct. No one believes the FIB info-machination.
Nobody needs or cares about the FIB so called data that we pay for to get lied to about.
The litmus test is how do you feel do you feel safe and who do you trust on a local level as a friend to have your back and on a government level to not stab your back.
Simply pass a nation wide FTD law. Free to Defend.
All citizens are free to defend themselves, their homes, their stuff, their businesses, with any force available, even lethal.
Few of us here had heard of that and practically no one in the outside world hears it.
Trump was right. ABC fact checking David Muir lied to the debate viewers. Despicable.
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