The massive culinary union said Trump is going to win Nevada. Most of their members were backing Trump. They have a way of being right in that state so I wouldn’t just dismiss what they’re saying.
Also if you follow trends, Nevada’s hispanics have been trending more and more right with each passing election. Biden barely squeaked out a win last time. If they’ve continued drifting rightward like hispanics elsewhere, Nevada will flip back to red and stay red.
Like I said, 33,000 +/- a number. I will be ecstatic when he wins.