Slotkin is losing. Trump is winning.
https://www.racetothewh.com/president/2024
This guy claims title of best polling (2022). Not good, BTW.
The two cross tabs that matter in this race, the important voting groups that are also difficult to poll are the dead and the institutionalized. These two groups will determine the outcome of the election. They will tilt very heavily Democrat so the turnout numbers will be important.
They don’t believe their own pole on the black and hispanic vote for trump in PA.