[BamaBelle]

James Spann this morning mentioned it “might” come in around Mexico Beach. I pray not as they just got the big hotel rebuilt this past year. Spann said to wait until models come in for a better idea of what this will be.

We are hoping for a few days next summer at Mexico Beach. I love it there!

[dfwgator]

Have they completely built Mexico Beach back yet?

[NautiNurse]

This storm has my attention here in Tampa Bay. Once the system lifts into the GOM, we’ll have a better fix on landfall, while not much time to make final preps.

[alancarp]

Models are now trending a little slower and more eastward right now... the GFS is the current outlier (and probably least reliable, but can't be ruled out) with a landfall between Spring Hill and Cedar Key (N of Tampa) as a Cat Four storm on Thursday afternoon. Their 6z and 12z runs are consistent at this point.

Ooo... the ICON model has just joined the GFS... same landfall region, though more like a Cat Two storm. The Euro model is stuck at Mexico Beach for now.

>> Other than the intensity, the real problem is this: since this storm (Gordon or Helene) is potentially coming in on an oblique angle to this coast, the landfall forecast is gonna be tricky... and the NHC hasn't exactly gotten a jump on it, either: we're only about 3 days to landfall somewhere over a 150 mile stretch of beach.