As Charlie Kirk pointed out even when McCain or Romney showed signs of life the electoral college was pretty much wrapped up for Obama by Labor Day.
When Trump went against Biden and Hillary they both had large leads around Labor Day only to have Donald campaign like crazy and close strong.
In 2024 he’s pretty much running even in the battleground states and in some cases ahead this election is now Donald’s to closeout. The guy is the Mariano Rivera of GOP candidates when it comes to closing campaigns.
Running against such a weak candidate who the media has propped up with smoke mirrors helps too.
Only way Trump wins the election is if there are people watching the rooms where the votes will be tallied.