Posted on 08/23/2024 9:31:46 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
Robinson’s positions are not the problem. The challenge is he is not a persuasive speaker.
Republicans need to slow down with our own DEI candidates. In our rush not to seem racist we embrace too many Herschel Walkers who are not ready for the races we put them in.
North Carolina is not that shaky. Trump will win comfortably.
“The delusions being sold about this election are just beyond comical...
There is no path for a democrat majority in either house.”
So it’s literally impossible for the Democrats to take back the House? That’s a huge relief.
Exactly which vulnerable House seats currently held by Republicans are *guaranteed* to be held? The 4 in New York? The 6 in California? The 2 in Arizona? The 2 in Pennsylvania? We’ll hold some of those, maybe even most of those (though we’re starting to get on thin ice there).
But all of them? Zero chance. NY-22 is already as good as flipped, and that’s just one example. Add in 2 definite redistricting/gerrymandering losses (AL, LA) and a highly likely flip in Oregon (OR-5), and those are just the MOST likely/obvious ones.
And which vulnerable House Democrats is this red wave going to consume? The one in Alaska (doubtful)? The one in Washington (doubtful)? The one in Maine (doubtful)?
See post 5 for a handful of examples of potential gains and potential losses. But that list wasn’t exhaustive, we can always use more examples, and I’m eager to hear some.
Sure the GOP has opportunities to make gains, and they also have a great potential for losses. But no matter how it shakes out, we DEFINITELY come out on top by at least 1? Fabulous.
“North Carolina is not that shaky. Trump will win comfortably.”
NC is definitely a swing state and there’s very little which is comfortable about that, but I’ll settle for a 1-vote Trump win. :-)
How so?
Just look at the prior history of polling in North Carolina. The very pollster you cite to had Biden beating Trump in every single poll of NC it did in 2020. Trump won in NC.
Every single poll and Tillis losing the Senate race in 2020 by large margins. He won.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2020/north-carolina/
The Democrats’ propaganda arm the corporate media is trying to call North Carolina a swing state. Its not. Trump will win it comfortably....my guess is by at least 5 points if not more.
He already won statewide. The only reason I see he’d lose is he’s doing a crappy job. This race is definitely his to lose.
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