Yes Maricopa is quite fascinating. If Trump wins Maricopa, he wins the state. That’s my guess. Anyway McDonald and his early voting stats will be starting in September. Should get an early idea with mail ballot requests in NC compared to 2020.
Seth Keshel, who has been crunching AZ numbers for a few years, says that Trump can even lose Maricopa and still win the state with the massive shifts going on in all the other counties.