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To: Owen
"No one has yet posted Rasmussen’s turnout model. Without that, we know nothing."

C'mon, don't be lazy. It's Rasmussen's standard LV with phone and online follow-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 50% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 43% would vote for Harris. Four percent (4%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

60 posted on 07/27/2024 2:09:14 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (TrumpII)
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To: StAnDeliver

That’s not a turnout model.

A turnout model says the electorate is X Independent, Y Dem and Z GOP. It will also say X college grad and Z non grads. It will have age and sex.

The the random phone calls are made until a total sample that conforms the turnout model are obtained, and the responses tabulated.


62 posted on 07/27/2024 4:17:32 PM PDT by Owen
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