PA is the key. Given the mess the Dems made of the last 3.5 years the red states are red and the blue states are blue.
That makes the battle ground PA-MI-WI
Trump wins PA and it game over. Trump loses PA he has to win MI-WI to win.
It puts in perspective the choice of Vance as VP. He can connect with working class Dems in PA-Mi-WI who habitually vote Dem because the GOP is the party of “the bosses and Wall Street”
Trump flipped them in 2016, Biden’s weird connectivity to blue collar Dems, and the fraud, flipped them back.
It going to be really hard for Kammy to connect with those voters the weird way Biden always could.
Trump performed better with Hispanics and Blacks in '20 compared to '16 but did not do as well with the whites like you said.
What if Kamala picks Josh Shapiro as VP?