[hole_n_one]

Also…

The Trump “ felony convictions” have had time to become cemented into the voter thinking with little to no negative affect on Trump’s numbers….he only gets stronger.

[Zhang Fei]

[Also…
The Trump “ felony convictions” have had time to become cemented into the voter thinking with little to no negative affect on Trump’s numbers….he only gets stronger.]

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Not sure Trump has gotten stronger, except in fundraising. His poll numbers haven’t moved. That his conviction did not crash his polls spiked his fundraising numbers. No one wants to donate to a losing campaign.

Between the average +4 bias in 2020 (poll vs actual) and the average +1 lead we’re seeing, the odds are of a 5 point win for Trump. Donors are lining up behind Trump because while not a landslide, this is increasingly looking like a lock. The conviction and the debates are just noise reinforcing the status quo trend - a clear Trump victory.