[Political Junkie Too]

Silver and I came up with the same model many years ago. I used to run a "Political Junkie's Guide to the Election" where I would review the latest polls, run my probability using the latest polling data, and produce an electoral vote map.

I stopped doing it after 2016 when I became convinced that the polls were either juiced or that voter fraud was endemic and disqualified all the polls.

-PJ

[plain talk]

Another factor it seems to me is the lack of good samples. Most people I know screen calls so we won’t get polled. So only the less savvy people take the calls from the pollsters?

You have special expertise so maybe you can weigh in on whether it is even possible to truly get good data for political polls these days.