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Electoral College Rating Changes: Half-Dozen Moves Toward Republicans in What Remains a Toss-up Race
Center for Politics ^ | June | Kyle Kondik

Posted on 06/13/2024 7:35:50 PM PDT by DoodleBob

click here to read article


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To: DoodleBob

Looks like a pretty good analysis. But Biden has not led any polls in NV or AZ in a long time. Basically Biden has to pull an inside straight winning WI, PA, MI, and VA which is starting to look like a tossup. Long way to go but I am gaining confidence in Trump’s ability to win this election.

Big wild card to me is are the pollsters making adjustments from 2016/2020 where Trump vote was significantly undercounted.


21 posted on 06/14/2024 5:07:24 AM PDT by oldskoolwargamer2
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To: slapshot

That is why such numbers are doubly important.


22 posted on 06/14/2024 6:22:47 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: DoodleBob

Is it possible the Democrats might throw the election to Trump, thinking they could basically tie his hands, and try to poison him to the extent that MAGA could never win again?


23 posted on 06/14/2024 6:26:35 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: oldskoolwargamer2

Looking at that map, if Trump takes Nevada and Arizona and Biden gets Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, and every other state goes as its currently leaning, Biden would win 270-268. The Rats will go all-out to steal PA and WI again.


24 posted on 06/14/2024 7:41:19 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Kozy

I’m not as bullish as you. I’ll be ecstatic if Trump pulls off a squeaker.


25 posted on 06/14/2024 9:03:47 AM PDT by VTenigma (Conspiracy theory is the new "spoiler alert")
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To: slapshot

For Vos reminds me of that rat mole Phalen in Texas.


26 posted on 06/14/2024 9:25:18 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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