The author buys his panties pre-waded.
He's not lying.
The Democrats have largely become the party of minorities, women, college educated whites, and the elderly. These last three groups have the best turnout rates, especially college educated whites and elderly.
The now working-class populist Republican party has a greater number of low-propensity voters, many of whom only show up when Trump is on the ticket as evidenced by the dismal 2018 and 2022 midterms.