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So a US blockade means the Chinese Communist Party will suffer its most feared calamity – mass unemployment for the duration of the blockade. The CCP has acted as though that would be a regime-ending event, and we’ll find out if they’re right.
China’s loss of the imported 35 percent of its food supply will not be immediately calamitous as most of that is used to improve their peoples’ diets, not to keep them alive. But loss of their entire meat supply, especially their treasured pork, will make them very unhappy.”
This is absolutely delusional !
You can’t bet the future of the United States that things will play out like this.
The reaction of the populations of the UK and Germany Japan to food rationing and food shortages in WW1 and WW2 was not bugman surrender and complaining, but rage against an enemy which created “Total War” economies where “mass unemployment” was the least of the worries.
A USA attempted blockade doesn’t do anything but create a fanatical nationalistic reaction. Think Japan in WW2 with 10 times the population and the industrial capacity of WW2 USA !
https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htlog/articles/2024061002057.aspx#startofcomments
In addition, communist China's internal weaknesses are similar to those of the USSR and her Warsaw Pact allies in their late stage, with riots and much popular discontent due to misrule, poor quality food, and lack of consumer goods. As it was, the leaders of the USSR did not provoke a war because they realized they would lose and would suffer furious discontent from their own people. China's leadership today is in a similar bad position and they seem to know it.