Joe Biden won the counties of Northern VA, Trump won most of the rest of the state. This was another state that flipped to Biden only in the final results coming in.
In the national popular vote, Biden had a 7M lead in 2020’s alleged result.
5M of this was Calif and 2M in NY. Illinois was 1M, adding to 8M, which Trump eroded across the country.
In no state did Trump win by over 1M. Not even Texas or Florida.
The national popular vote polling shows a small Trump lead. This is absolutely enormous change from 2020. It is this which is extending to the outright leads in Battlegrounds.
The Democrats are campaigning in denial that politics is not what it used to be. Independents are dominant and focused nationwide on the Border and the Swamp. Virginia being tied is a 10% shift, probably for Independents there, too.