Nothing accounts for voter fraud / mail in ballots.
I used to be skilled at reading the polls with extremely good accuracy. That all went out the window in 2020 with the mail in ballots. According to the way I used to read polls, there is no question that Trump won. Then we also saw the red wave fizzle out in 2022, which according to the polls should have never happened. They are stealing these elections.
Since you used to be skilled at reading the polls, how do you account for Trump over-performing the polls both in 2016 and in 2020, esp. in 2020, given massive voter fraud?
Abortion was a big issue in 2022.