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Chance of acquittal? Is that hope or fact ?

I’m not to sure , not because I don’t believe trump is innocent but due to the fact the jurors are corrupt

To calculate The probability of the same event occurring 12 times, raise the probability of it happening once to the 12th power. To acquit you would need 12 not guilty votes. If only 10% of the jury pool voted for Trump in the election, the probability any single juror voting not guilty is 1/10. 1/10 to the 12th power is 1/100,000,000. I believe the jury is not going to acquit.

The probability of at least one not guilty vote (hung jury) in Manhattan would be about 7 out of 10, assuming the TDS jurors didn't intimidate the minority into changing their votes to guilty. If the jury is hung and won't change any votes, that would be a mistrial. Merchan and Bragg would be very unhappy, but they could retry Trump, probablyafter the election if at all.

Is that hope or fact?

A probability is not a certainty. In the battle of Leyte Gulf, A few US destroyers held off The Imperial Japanese Navy's biggest battleships, which had 18 inch guns. It was improbable, but the Japanese fleet got confused and retreated after doing terrible damage to some of the US destroyers.