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To: adorno

I think there may be some credibility to the idea that Iran knew they would do no damage, but were able to imply “solidarity” with the Gazans without bringing the wrath of Israel on them. Now they can walk away from Gaza with the excuse that they “tried”.

I’m not saying I believe that - or that I don’t. I’m just saying that something along those lines is actually happening here.


8 posted on 04/15/2024 9:36:16 AM PDT by cuban leaf (2024 is going to be one for the history books, like 1939. And 2025 will be more so, like 1940-1945.)
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To: cuban leaf
Now they can walk away from Gaza with the excuse that they “tried”.

Iran can walk away from Gaza, but they won't give up their dreams of destroying Israel. Israel is the Muslims worst nightmare, and they will never let Israel live in peace.

Until the Ayatollahs give up their of turning the world into an Islamic world, then, no peace is achievable in the middle-eat or in the world.
12 posted on 04/15/2024 9:59:31 AM PDT by adorno (CCH)
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To: cuban leaf
There was a report in the Financial Times a day or two before the Iranian attack. The claim was that Iran and the US, and even Israel talked over the attack ahead of time. The idea was that the attack would only do minimal damage to an Israeli military installation. This would allow Iran to save face to its proxies without giving Israel justification for escalating toward WWIII.

Whether or not the report was based on good intel or insider information, the result was spookily close to what ended up happening.

If Israel did get a head's up, and not just from the slow deployment of the drones, then there are two equally disturbing possibilities:

1) The few missiles that did get through were allowed to get through in order for Iran to hit some targets and gain some face, or

2) The few missiles that did get through are so fast that they pose a real threat to Israel despite the Iron Dome.

If Israel did get prior notice, then they are either going back on their deal and deciding to escalate, or Netanyahu is going back on their deal because of pressure from hardliners and his desire to stay in office.

This is all speculation, but it is out there and the problems in the Middle East have always been spurred by different interpretations of the same incidents.

Every side will see what they want to see. Every incident will be interpreted to ratify preconceived notions. The conflicts will continue. Armageddon will eventually befall us. Hopely later rather than sooner.

21 posted on 04/15/2024 12:41:51 PM PDT by who_would_fardels_bear (Kafka was an optimist.)
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