Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

SPECIAL REPORT: RUSSIAN STRIKES MORE EFFECTIVE AS UKRAINE EXHAUSTS DEFENSES
Institute for the Study of War ^ | 4/12/24 | Riley Bailey and Frederick W. Kagan

Posted on 04/12/2024 7:26:38 PM PDT by hardspunned

The exhaustion of US-provided air defenses resulting from delays in the resumption of US military aid to Ukraine combined with improvements in Russian strike tactics have led to the increasing effectiveness of Russian missile and drone strikes against Ukraine without a dramatic increase in the size or frequency of such strikes. Russian forces have conducted two sets of large missile strikes since intensifying missile and drone strikes at the end of December 2023: a series of strikes primarily targeting industrial and military facilities and critical infrastructure between December 2023 and February 2024 and an ongoing series of strikes heavily targeting Ukraine’s energy grid since late March.[1] Russian forces have not notably increased the number or size of their strikes since the initial intensification of their strike campaign in December 2023 and have conducted a relatively consistent number and intensity of strikes over the winter and into the spring. Russian forces have nonetheless inflicted increasing and long-term damage to Ukrainian energy infrastructure this spring.[2] The increased effectiveness of Russian strikes does not appear to result from the use of more missiles and drones in each strike. Instead, Russian forces are exploiting the degradation of Ukraine’s air defense umbrella caused by continued delays in Western security assistance and appear to be leveraging tactical adaptations stemming from several months of Russian efforts to test Ukrainian air defenses.[3] This pattern is alarming because it suggests that, absent a rapid resumption of US military aid, Russian forces can continue to deal severe damage to Ukrainian forces on the front lines and to Ukrainian critical infrastructure in the rear even with the limited number of missiles Russia is likely to have available in the coming months.

(Excerpt) Read more at understandingwar.org ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Ukraine
KEYWORDS: israelfirst; kagankluxklan; killkillkillforpeace; mic; neocons; putinbotsonduty; theusualcrew; ukraine
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-68 next last
Ruh Roh! Even Neocon Central and Nuland’s brother in law now admit the obvious. What they don’t admit is the fact that the $15B actually going to Ukraine of the $61B neocon Johnson is about to give the Ukes will not reverse this.
1 posted on 04/12/2024 7:26:38 PM PDT by hardspunned
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: hardspunned

Ukrainiacs probably arguing for direct intervention or some back door into the war Iran anyone?


2 posted on 04/12/2024 7:29:44 PM PDT by Nextrush (FREEDOM IS EVERYBODY'S BUSINESS-REMEMBER REV. NIEMOLLER)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned; Nextrush

3:14
and that’s what Nebenzya was talking about in his statement when he
3:22
said that the only thing that the International Community is going to be talking about when they have meetings is
3:29
going to be the unconditional surrender of the Ukraine, and he said - I advise
3:35
you all - the collective West - I’m advising all of you guys to prepare for the
3:40
unconditional surrender of Ukraine. Nebenzya also said in his statement that
3:47
residents of a number of Ukrainian cities including Kharkov, Odessa and Nikolayev have begun sharing coordinates and
3:54
information about the location of Ukrainian forces with Russia, demonstrating their position on the
4:00
conflict. That’s an interesting statement as well from the Russian ambassador to the United Nations, Vasily Nebenzya.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BiP0ZjLw60s&t=194s


3 posted on 04/12/2024 7:32:28 PM PDT by kiryandil (what Ukrainian electrical grid doink?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned

What lies. The funding is not the issue, it’s our inability to manufacture the weapons in a timely manner that is the issue. Why did we deindustrialize then try to start another world war? Unless they can make a bomb out of $100 bills I don’t think we have much to offer Ukraine.


4 posted on 04/12/2024 7:35:15 PM PDT by wildcard_redneck (He who sacrifices freedom for security deserves neither.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned

I sense years of partisan warfare when this war ends if it ever does. Sure gotta hand it to both sides. They’re a lot tougher than us in the west.


5 posted on 04/12/2024 7:35:21 PM PDT by toddausauras (Trump 2024)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned

And you are happy about it. The conquest and subjugation of the Ukrainian people is a small price to pay for some to feel that they are fighting the good fight against the dreaded Neocons.


6 posted on 04/12/2024 7:36:18 PM PDT by Petrosius
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Nextrush

They want war in Ukraine, Iran, and Taiwan.


7 posted on 04/12/2024 7:41:28 PM PDT by EEGator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Petrosius

The war wouldn’t have happened if not for previous neocon actions.
Spooks & DoS can never just leave it alone.
Perpetual expansion and attempted resource gathering by any means.


8 posted on 04/12/2024 7:45:19 PM PDT by EEGator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Petrosius

On the contrary, the destruction of the entire male population of Ukraine is a small price to pay for NeoCons to have struck a blow, however futile, against Russia.

They said it themselves:

Crenshaw: “Yeah, because investing in the destruction of our adversary’s military, without losing a single American troop, strikes me as a good idea.”

Senator Graham: “I like the path we’re on. With American weapons and money, Ukraine will fight Russia to the last Ukrainian..”


9 posted on 04/12/2024 7:51:10 PM PDT by Reverend Wright ( Everything touched by progressives, dies !)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Petrosius

I’m very happy that the additional, totally unnecessary hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian deaths that DC is 100% responsible for might be coming to an end. The Ukes and Russians negotiated a peace deal 250,000 dead Ukes ago before DC torpedoed the deal. Are you sad the bloodbath might end? Are you sad the hundreds of billions of our tax dollars wasted might only now be tens of billions as we try to rebuilt what DC destroyed? Are you sad that maybe, just maybe WWIII might not happen? Just what more does it take to satiate your neocon bloodlust?


10 posted on 04/12/2024 7:56:14 PM PDT by hardspunned (Former DC GOP globalist stooge)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned

They better hurry, the Russian UN rep gave his speech about the war.Start negotiating from where the treacherous Istanbul Peace talks ended, or Unconditional Surrender will be accomplished.

His terms were spelled out, same as Vlad’s objectives from day one- Denazification- No Nato, and Ukie neutrality…..and of course he keeps the ethnic Russian provinces.

Sounds good to me, the Ukies better get busy, their Unconditional Surrender looms.


11 posted on 04/12/2024 7:56:28 PM PDT by delta7
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: delta7

—> His terms were spelled out, same as Vlad’s objectives from day one- Denazification- No Nato, and Ukie neutrality…..and of course he keeps the ethnic Russian provinces.

+1


12 posted on 04/12/2024 7:59:54 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned

“Instead, Russian forces are exploiting the degradation of Ukraine’s air defense umbrella caused by CONTINUED DELAYS in Western security assistance”

Well, the delays will be for another couple of years, because that’s how long it takes to manufacture even a small number of weapons in the West. Based on the the recent intensity of the war, Russia would likely be able to be crossing the English Channel by then, but they won’t, of course.


13 posted on 04/12/2024 8:00:29 PM PDT by BobL (A society built on MERIT cannot survive on DEI (ref. South Africa, and now USA))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wildcard_redneck

“Why did we deindustrialize then try to start another world war?”

Because our country and our military are led by ARROGANT TOTAL IDIOTS Leftists...they simply ‘know everything’ and they knew that Russia was a paper tiger.

They were wrong, as usual.


14 posted on 04/12/2024 8:02:23 PM PDT by BobL (A society built on MERIT cannot survive on DEI (ref. South Africa, and now USA))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: toddausauras

What Europe and the DC Regime really have to worry about is that the overwhelming Russian victory in Ukraine will turn into something like Chechnya.

Where Putin’s biggest opponents follow the strong horse, and turn into his most frightening enforcers.


15 posted on 04/12/2024 8:11:54 PM PDT by Reverend Wright ( Everything touched by progressives, dies !)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Reverend Wright

Interesting thought. I’ve much to learn. One thing I do know from studying the eastern front is that Russia will not lose so close to home. I guess we’ll see.


16 posted on 04/12/2024 8:19:00 PM PDT by toddausauras (Trump 2024)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: BobL

Honestly, just give the MIC its $45Billion called for in the “aid package” and send the rest to Ukraine to be divvied up among the payoffees. Hell, the only thing we’ve got to send the Ukes equipment wise are Hawk missile batteries from the 50s. What’s $61Billion when we’re adding a Trillion in debt every 90 days. At least we won’t have to listen to that ridiculous BS about the only thing saving Putin is the lack of that cash.


17 posted on 04/12/2024 8:23:59 PM PDT by hardspunned (Former DC GOP globalist stooge)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: hardspunned
Meanwhile, Zelensky keeps digging his grave.

.

Car Bomb Rocks Moscow: Ukrainian 'Traitor' Officer Who Defected To Russia

18 posted on 04/12/2024 8:25:12 PM PDT by Karl Spooner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: EEGator

Nonsense. Stop trying to justify the unjustifiable. Putin has for years complained about “Lenin’s mistake” in recognizing Ukraine’s right to independence. In his mind, and that of many other Russians, Ukrainians are just rebellious Russians, their national identity an invention of the west. Putin thought he had a chance to restore Ukraine to Russian rule and he took it. This has nothing to do with all the various excuses that he gives. Don’t believe his lies.


19 posted on 04/12/2024 8:25:23 PM PDT by Petrosius
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Reverend Wright

Russia started this war, not your boogeymen NeoCons, and the Russians are the ones keeping it going.


20 posted on 04/12/2024 8:26:56 PM PDT by Petrosius
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-68 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson