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The Realclear average currently has Trump ahead by 5 points. In 2020, the last Realclear average put Biden ahead by 0.9 points in Arizona, and he won the state by 0.3 points. That is, Trump slightly overperformed relative to the polls (you can say this was because there were more "shy Trump voters" than dead voters. If Trump again overperforms relative to the polls, and if Trump maintains his current margin, he will win Arizona easily this year.
1 posted on 03/19/2024 1:51:11 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

any poll that shows brandon > 37% is bogus, push pull polling to set up the steal, imo


2 posted on 03/19/2024 1:56:39 PM PDT by thinden (buckle up ....)
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To: Redmen4ever

Third post here — where is the “Trump has no chance” crowd?


3 posted on 03/19/2024 1:59:52 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Redmen4ever

2% of Arizona voters are brain dead racists.


4 posted on 03/19/2024 2:07:08 PM PDT by Islander7 (There is no septic system so vile, so filthy, the left won't drink from to further their agenda.)
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To: Redmen4ever

Only 600 voters in this poll. While good news, the sample is a little small to be drawing any final conclusions about the results.


5 posted on 03/19/2024 2:16:55 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart, and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: Redmen4ever

Still too early.


6 posted on 03/19/2024 2:18:14 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Redmen4ever
RFK and Cornel West took exactly 9% from Trump and 9% from Biden.

I am relieved.

I predicted RFK and West would get 60% of their support from Trump.

7 posted on 03/19/2024 2:18:58 PM PDT by zeestephen (Trump "Lost" By 43,000 Votes - Spread Across Three States - GA, WI, AZ)
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To: Redmen4ever

I’ve never in my life seen the Republican candidate ahead by even one percent at this point in the campaign cycle.

Even Reagan in 1984 was portrayed by the MSM of that time as slightly behind Mondull. He was never depicted as being ahead, right up until he buried Mondull in a 49-state landslide.


9 posted on 03/19/2024 2:20:36 PM PDT by Steely Tom ([Voter Fraud] == [Civil War])
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To: Redmen4ever

This year’s Rat Party convention should be fun to watch. They had better line up videos from their 1968 convention...also held in Chitcago.


10 posted on 03/19/2024 2:26:03 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Proudly Clinging To My Guns And My Religion)
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To: Redmen4ever

Arizona is one of those states where I ask “What Happened?”.

It used to be solid GOP. We never worried about it in presidential races or even state races.

So what’s the problem?

Is it California refugees bring their voting habits along with them?

Is it illegal aliens?

Is it brain dead snowbirds (aka Condo Commies)?

Something else?


12 posted on 03/19/2024 2:51:42 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Redmen4ever

I’m betting Trump wins all 50 states. I just read headline at Breitbart that said only 50% of Democrats plan on voting Dem. Plus, this would be a big win for Reagan, since he told Trump to run. Yeehaw!


14 posted on 03/19/2024 3:24:21 PM PDT by NetAddicted (MAGA2024)
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