With Trump in power, he will negotiate so that Ukraine will still have most of it’s country intact. The nation will exist as a sovereign, mostly European friendly state, but remain outside the EU NATO orbit. The USA will help them rebuild and so will Russia.
Otherwise, if the Deep State globohomos allow Quisling Puppet Biden another term, Ukraine will lose ALL of its territory and be annexed in it’s entirety into Greater Russia. It WILL become a vassal state, obedient to Mother Russia.
These are the ONLY two choices.
I think yours is an accurate take on things.