She's in over her head. When she wins some notable cases she can showboat.
It looks that way now. But I didn't hear anyone come up with distinctively better directions before the rulings, other than silly blasts. They relied on President Trump's presidential immunity and, when that fell through, they went with he said/she said, believing that would be a 50/50 deal, so not a preponderance. President Trump didn't testify except to say the whole story was a big, fat lie. And Carroll's lawyers argued that no testimony by him suggested he was afraid of the questions.
Then Carroll testified to tons of details and produced two buddies to back her up and two other women who told similar tales. They figured this constituted a pattern and easily a preponderance of evidence presented. They bought it, hook, line and sinker.
I pray that an appeal exonerates him fully.
But I don't even want to guess the odds.