Its over democrats and independents made up 51% of primary electorate for a republican primary for other states the ratio is way less about 20% she can’t win and it is winner take all and the independents in those states are not blue state TDS independents/democrats...expect Haley to drop out in a week once the results are finalized.
I agree with your analysis of primary voters.
However I believe she is scamming wealthy Democratic donors and their Trump Derangement Syndrome is so strong they will ignore the stunning futility of her campaign and continue to fund her at least to Super Tuesday and maybe past that.