Heard a good analysis today. That Baluchestan are a stand alone group that claims part of Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan.
The ones in Pakistan do cross border attacks into Iran.
The ones in Iran do attacks into Pakistan.
Iran hit the ones who ran back into Pakistan. Pakistan in turn hit the ones in Iran.
Both countries dislike these Baluchestan types. The prediction was that this is not the grand war we think it is, and that it’s very likely that Pakis and Iranians will agree to sort out the Baluchestan rebels inside their own territory and call it a day.
The Baluchistan issue between Iran and Pakisstan, and sometimes even Afghanistan is rooted in a long, old history. The Baluchi tribes were nomadic herders who moved their animals according to the seasons without regard of national borders. I suspect that as weather paterns have changed in recent decades it has become necessary to use new locations to find enough feed for their animals. This may be causing incursions more deeply into one country or another, and negative actions against the tribesmen.
Since around 2012 an armed organized Sunni group has been fighting for a separate Baluchi territory. This may not escalate as it has been swinging back and forth for a decade now. Iran is much more concerned with Iraq and Israel, not to mention Saudi Arabia.
Correct. Great analysis, buddy.
As one commentator said it, in a comical voice imitating a Pakistani. “Oh, no, Iran, don’t you dare hit the Buluks at grid coordinates G59 by H70. Don’t you dare...that’s G59 by H70.”
I expect Lindsey Graham to begin lobbying for US involvement to support the anti Iranian side. There can be no doubt that the CIA is meddling in this. We will become involved, the warmongers in DC can’t help themselves.