[TBP]

In 1984, 1992, 2004, and 2020, there were Republican incumbents, so you have to take those years out. That leaves 1988, 1996, 2000, 2008, 2012, and 2016. They've been wrong three of those six times, according to your liberal source. That's a pretty spotty record. The Register is wrong as often as it's right, being generous.

[M. Thatcher]

Since 1984 they have missed only ONCE for a Republican presidential caucus, in 2012. They missed TWICE for Democrats, 2004 and 2020.

2004: Gephardt led poll, Kerry won
2012: Gingrich led poll, Santorum won
2020: Sanders led poll, Buttigieg won

Go ahead and discount it, no skin off my nose.