Posted on 01/11/2024 8:15:42 AM PST by Mr. Mojo
President Joe Biden’s polling numbers made history in Michigan, as less than 20% of state voters said the Democratic incumbent deserves another term as president.
A poll from the Detroit News/WDIV-TV released Wednesday found that out of 600 Michiganian respondents, just 17% believed Biden deserves another term in the White House. The number marked a record low for a major public officeholder in Michigan’s modern political history, according to Richard Czuba, founder of the poll-conducting Glengariff Group.
Biden trails former President Donald Trump by 8 percentage points in a head-to-head matchup, with 47% of respondents saying they prefer Trump and 39% preferring Biden. The results are a significant blow to Biden, who is trailing the former president in several battleground states that will likely decide the outcome of the 2024 election in roughly 10 months.
Biden won Michigan in 2020 by 3 percentage points, 51% to 48%. In January 2020, ahead of that year’s general election, Biden, who was not yet the nominee, led Trump by 7 points.
When third-party candidates were thrown into the race, Trump’s lead over Biden increased to 12 percentage points, stoking Democrats’ fears that the entry of an independent ticket would hurt Biden’s reelection chances and push Trump to victory.
The poll from Glengariff Group released Wednesday was the first one to show Trump with a lead over the likely Democratic nominee in Michigan before an election, Czuba told the Detroit News.
“If I were a Democrat in Michigan, I would be breaking the emergency fire alarms in the White House and demanding to know what the plan is for Michigan,” Czuba said. “Because these numbers are very bad for any incumbent of any party.”
When asked about whether Biden deserved another term, 77% said they wanted a different national leader. When asked the same question regarding Trump, 33% of respondents said the former president deserves another stint in the White House, and 62% said they would prefer someone else.
Michigan Democrats have had several political victories over the last six years, most recently flipping the state legislature to gain a Democratic trifecta for 2023. Michigan Republicans suffered a deep blow during the 2022 midterm elections with historic losses, particularly when Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) won reelection by over 10 percentage points. The state GOP also continues to suffer from intraparty dissension and financial problems.
However, Biden is facing opposition from Michigan Democrats and particularly Muslim Americans, a voting bloc that overwhelmingly supported Biden’s 2020 campaign. Now, the demographic threatens to withhold votes in 2024 over the administration’s stance on the war between Israel and Hamas — a move that could prove disastrous for the president’s reelection chances.
Czuba said Michigan voters’ views on Biden have changed, as Trump’s support in the new poll is in line with the shares of votes he has received in the last two presidential elections.
Three years into his first term, the poll found that Biden had a 58% unfavorable rating and a 29% favorable rating. In September 2020, ahead of the November 2020 election, 43% of Michigan voters had a favorable opinion of Biden. Most of the negative reviews Biden received were related to his age, with 41% of responses connected to his general level of competence and mental competence. At 81 years old, he is the oldest president in U.S. history.
“It is about how they perceive his fitness for office,” Czuba said of the opposition to Biden.
Trump became the first Republican in 28 years to win the Michigan presidential election, defeating Hillary Clinton by 0.2 percentage points in 2016.
Trump’s lead in Wednesday’s poll comes despite the former president’s attempt to overturn the state’s 2020 election results with fake electors. The office of Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel filed charges against several of the alternate electors for their efforts in the election subversion attempt in July 2023. More than 58% of voters said a Trump criminal conviction would not change their vote, while 28% said it would influence their decision.
When asked if there was a silver lining for Democrats in this poll, Michigan Democrat and political consultant Adrian Hemond said there wasn’t one.
“Unless there is a fundamental change in the dynamics of the election, Donald Trump is going to be president in January next year,” Hemond said.
“Unless there is a fundamental change in the dynamics of the election, Donald Trump is going to be president in January next year,”
meaning... let’s cheat again, like we did last time.
Trump had the 2020 election in the bag as well. Then came covid, then came mail out ballots, then came states changing voting laws without legislative approvals.....
If Joe Biden wins the election it will be a coffin with a speaker in it and you know who the voice will Obamas.
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