VA has a Republican governor, a Republican lieutenant governor, and a Republican attorney general. Democrats hold the legislature by a razor thin margin. Democrats have both US Senate seats and six of eleven congressional seats. To say it leans Democrat is not inaccurate.
I disagree.
Youngkin (R) won by 2%, with very low turn out - less than 55%.
Trump v. Biden had 75% turn out.
If Youngkin can win reelection by 10%, with 75% turn out, then I will be impressed.
VA had Dem Gov/Lt Gov/AG, etc for many years before Youngkin, et al won. Remember Terry McAuliffe and Ralph Northam?