Understood.
There is no good reason for uncertainty about matters like this. In orbit assets can produce imagery that would make very clear what is happening.
The only involved people who do not know the truth of this situation is the general public. The Russians know. The US/UK/Ukraine knows. Only the public does not know.
And it need not be any sort of concealment of imagery capability. There are purely civilian spacecraft that can image these locations. They clearly have been told not to release any such images — with the excuse being it would reveal this and that and this and that to the Russians — which is absurd since the Russians have their own satellites and already know this information.
No, this is all about manipulating Congress and providing Congress only the information the Administration wants it to have.
This is a very specific and particular reality where there is zero technical motivation behind refusing to release this to the public. The motivation is all something else.