Biden's Negative Momentum Among Key Demographics Spells Trouble for Reelection

TIPP Insights ^ | 11/26/2024 | Tipp Insights Editorial Board

[NohSpinZone]

* President Biden shows significant vulnerability in five critical demographic groups based on the TIPP Presidential Leadership Index

* Our analysis categorizes 21 vulnerable demographic groups into three levels of negative momentum: significant, considerable, and moderate

One year before the 2024 election, President Biden faces challenges among several demographic groups. Using our TIPP Presidential Leadership Index, we identify 21 demographic segments where Biden is vulnerable. Our analysis reveals that his greatest vulnerability lies in the Midwest, among individuals aged 18-24, moderates, households with incomes under $30K, and households in the $50K-$75K bracket.

Presidential Leadership Index Two decades ago, TIPP developed the Presidential Leadership Index, an innovative metric considering favorability, job approval, and Presidential Leadership.

We compute the favorability component based on the survey question, "Overall, is your opinion of the President generally favorable, generally unfavorable, or are you not familiar enough to say one way or the other?"

The basis for the index's job approval component is the question: "In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as President, or are you not familiar enough to say one way or the other?"

The question, "How would you describe the leadership that Joe Biden is providing for the country?" forms the basis for the leadership component.

The Presidential Leadership Index is the average of its three components. For the index and its components, a reading above 50.0 signals optimism, and below 50.0 indicates pessimism.

[Chgogal]

Depressing Bookmark.

[nwrep]

... and it must be abolished just as with slavery.

It will never happen. If you ask for the abolition of abortion, they will call you a Nazi with no sense of irony.

[unclebankster]

Harris has zero support among blacks, ESPECIALLY black women.

1) Not really black
2) Married a Jew.
3) Sent a zillion bruthas to jail for weed.

*************
None of the issues you mentioned matter to the hodge podge democrat coalition.

Opposition to Harris is based on her terrible performance while running for the democrat nomination in 2020. The realists know she’s too stupid & lazy to win the Presidency, but they can’t say that to the Kamala ‘sunshine pumpers.’

Also, she has more support than I initially anticipated among white democrats.

It will take clever machinations & money to remove Harris at this juncture.