Posted on 11/05/2023 4:50:20 PM PST by delta7
In the coming winter phase of the Russian offensive in the Ukraine, the electric war will be run quite differently from the way the first electric war was directed last winter.
The impact on the Ukrainian grid and on the country’s and military’s capacities to cope will be more destructive than a year ago.
-The reason for this, Ukrainian sources have been saying publicly and Russian military assessments now confirm, is that most of the money which the US, the European Union, and the World Bank have provided Kiev officials over the past nine months to repair, reconstruct, and prepare the country’s power generating and distribution system for the coming winter has been stolen.-
The US and NATO command and control centres inside the country for running the war will be operating in the dark, not only because of the precision of the Russian missiles and drone operations, but because of the corruption of the Ukrainians. They understand that defeat and capitulation are coming; they are running away with the loot before it’s too dark, too late.
The first electric war campaign began a year ago, in October 2022. Follow the succeeding episodes here and here.
In the latest Ukrainian press reports, the battlefield evidence indicates the new electric war has begun. “Kiev said,” according to this summary, “two dozen Russian drones and a missile were downed overnight as concern grows that Moscow is once again targeting Ukraine’s energy infrastructure ahead of winter. Officials in Kharkiv reported civilian targets were hit by shelling and drone attacks…Police in Kharkiv in northeastern Ukraine reported that at least 10 Russian drones hit civilian infrastructure and triggered multiple fires in the city and shelling also damaged buildings. The overnight raids are part of a recent rise in Russian attacks. More than 100 settlements in eastern Ukraine, including Kharkiv, were targeted on Wednesday, the heaviest day of shelling so far in 2023…
Ukraine and its partners in the West worry that Russia could try to replicate a strategy it followed last winter, squeezing Ukraine by targeting energy infrastructure as temperatures fall.”
There is no corroboration in the latest bulletin from the Russian Ministry of Defense that the new round of aerial attacks was targeted on energy infrastructure. “From October 28 to November 3, 2023, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation carried out fifteen group strikes with precision weapons and unmanned aerial vehicles on warehouses of rocket and artillery weapons, places of storage of weapons and military equipment, as well as temporary locations of Ukrainian servicemen, nationalists and foreign mercenaries. As a result of the strikes, hangars for preparing Ukrainian aircraft for takeoff, production sites for unmanned aerial vehicles and unmanned boats, groups of foreign instructors and mercenaries were destroyed.” The problem for the Ukrainians is that the electricity generating plants and the power grids are now more vulnerable to precision attack triggering cascading system failure than they were a year ago. Russian publication on November 3 of internal Kiev government documents reveals the extent of the problem.
Russian hackers from the group Solntsepek [literally, ‘burning sun’, name of Russian Army heavy flamethrower] who recently hacked the administration of the Kiev region, provided us with a lot of extremely interesting documents. But the editors were particularly interested in the draft regional programme for the development of housing and communal services, energy transformation and energy security of the Kiev region for 2023-2027.
“First of all, our attention was attracted by an analytical note assessing the effectiveness of strikes on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. According to Kiev, 24 generation facilities have been damaged or destroyed since October 2022. So, Nezalezhnaya [Russian slang for “independence”, sarcasm for the Kiev regime] lost 3.8 GW from the TPP [thermal power plant] and 1 GW from the CHP [Combined Heat & Power]. In total, the enemy [Ukraine] needs to replenish 6 GW of generating capacity. At the same time, according to Ukrainian energy experts, the country has lost 8.5 GW which were produced on the territory now controlled by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
“To solve this problem, Kiev has come up with the idea of replacing the lost power units with co-generation plants. We are talking about mini-power plants with a capacity from 300 kW to 12 MW, which use the generated heat directly at the installation site. In fact, in the Ukrainian capital, they want to place similar mini-CHP plants using natural gas and biogas in [apartment building] boiler houses, and thereby kill three birds with one stone — save on heat supply, replace lost generation capacity, and build a distribution and generation network less vulnerable to Russian strikes.
“Apparently, a significant part of Ukraine’s generating capacity was irretrievably lost during the attacks and cannot be restored. Therefore, Kiev needs a cheap and quick to install replacement. The analytical paper notes that in order to replace the missing capacities, Ukrainians will need up to 1,200 such installations — indeed, no drones and missiles will be enough to hit everything. In addition, the use of these installations will provide electricity to isolated areas that are without light and heat……
Much, much ,more….
I'll bet they did Nazi that coming.
And how much of that stolen money got funneled back to politicians and the dark side through shell companies.
Sounds like itdoesn’t really matter what they try to do, i.e. the money for whatever they hope to accomplish will just get stolen.
Decentralization of the power grid - smart idea to out smart the Russians
Had to go to Ukraine on a business trip. While dining in a restaurant noticed a small chop at the bottom of the menu with a set of initials. Asked my “handler” what that was about and was told it is a government inspection stamp showing the shop had all the ingredients to make the meals. That is WAY too much government.
Yeah they’re crooked.
“The price of liberty is eternal vigilance.
It is incumbent on every generation to pay its own debts as it goes. A principle which if acted on would save one-half the wars of the world. My reading of history convinces me that most bad government results from too much government”
—Thomas Jefferson
Of course it has.
“-The reason for this, Ukrainian sources have been saying publicly and Russian military assessments now confirm, is that most of the money which the US, the European Union, and the World Bank have provided Kiev officials over the past nine months to repair, reconstruct, and prepare the country’s power generating and distribution system for the coming winter has been stolen.-”
I wonder who stole it. How in Hell have they been able to steal billions of dollars? “ most of the money “ It had to be billions of dollars. If they had three billion dollars and two billion dollars were stolen, that is a staggering sum. Billions of dollars were stolen. Of course we know that they could not afford to repair the electric grid. They had to spend billions of dollars on bribes to keep getting the money to steal. It really is a crime. The fact that people like Mitch McConnell are still in favor of sending more money makes me question their motives.
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