Good Questions.
At this point in 2007 it was Clinton 38, Obama 24 and then all the others.
Compared to Trump national polling at 59.1% currently
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
If they are going to pull a rabbit out of their hat, the anti Trumpers are running out of time to do it.
https://ballotpedia.org/Deadline_to_run_for_president,_2024
Deadline to run for president, 2024
There is no formal, national deadline to file to run for . Instead, candidates must meet a variety of state-specific filing requirements and deadlines to appear on each state’s election ballot.
These regulations, which are set at the state level, are known as . They often include collecting a certain number of signatures and/or paying a filing fee. A presidential candidate must prepare to meet ballot access requirements well in advance of primaries, caucuses, and the general election if he or she wants to make it to the election ballot.
The earliest filing deadline we have identified for a presidential state primary is October 16, 2023, in .
That’s nationally. I think you’ll find that Obama was probably polling ahead of Clinton in Iowa by now. Certainly by December it was clear Edward’s, Obama and Clinton would be close in Iowa. That’s just over a month from now.