What did the voters think about Obama in October of 2007? Things can turn around very quickly when most voters have not even considered who to vote for. Unexpected events can lead to massive shifts.
Preface: I’m a Trump supporter, more later...
Trump has sucked up all the oxygen in the room, Desantis was a 2028 easy choice if he would have stuck to his current term. If _I_ was a Florida resident, I’d be livid he ‘abandoned’ his state for higher office.
Trump has support, it won’t fade, its based on perceived retaliation/revenge/correction from the last election cycle.
Youngkin would be wise to sit it out as long as possible and evaluate as things change.
Obama in 2007 October was ahead or tied with Hillary and Edward’s. He wasn’t 30pts behind and 50pts behind nationally. 2nd, Obama is extremely charismatic and had a huge push from every media outlet. Hillary didn’t have a base as loyal as Trump. Ita just not the same scenario. Therr I’d absolutely no evidence that anyone who is currently 40pts behind Trump is as good a politician as Obama. Obama also had a natural constituency who happened to be the most important constituency in the Democratic party. In the Republican party, right now, that constituency is MAGA.