[MinorityRepublican]

I doubt Trump will lose Iowa but even if he does it won’t change the overall outcome.

Iowa is weird. So somebody like Tim Scott may win Iowa. But it doesn't matter.

[HamiltonJay]

Exactly the caucus system makes IOWA a crazy place... but it’s record of actually picking the nominee in a contested race is insanely poor.. I think the eventual nominee has only won Iowa twice (when the race was contested), at least on the Republican side since 1972.

1976 when Ford won and 2000 when George W Bush won