Kyrsten Sinema is going to be difficult to beat unless the Democrats run someone as a 3rd candidate in the race, especially if Sinema runs as an Independent.
Sinema is the incumbent, she will have a ton of money behind her, and she’s won elections before.
I don’t know, the Dems have said they are running someone. This could split their vote and require at least two months delay to announce the winner (so they can create the votes needed). The question will be who do they create the votes for? The independent or the democrat? That infighting alone could take months to sort out.
She can’t win with 2 left-wingers splitting the vote (herself and Communist Gallego) against a single Conservative.
Sinema is the incumbent, she will have a ton of money behind her, and she’s won elections before.
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And many democrats hate Sinema’s guts for thwarting much of their socialist agenda, an agenda that the Bernie Sanders wing wanted implemented immediately after the Big Steal of 2020.
Unfortunately for the progressives, Sinema & Manchin had other priorities.
Sinema's challenge is that Democrats in Arizona don't like her. Republicans do, but they won't vote for her if there's a Republican on the ticket.
The best shot Sinema has at remaining in the Senate is to flip to the GOP and win a primary race by attrition after Masters and Lake annihilate each other.
Are there enough swing voters in Arizona where Sinema could still win as an independent, beating both party's candidates? I honestly don't know.