There will not be significant change on either side over the next year or so. Stalemate is what they have and I see no big changes. This is based strictly on military analysis, not politics or diplomacy.
We—the whole world—have to hope that a Trump victory happens next year. If so, Trump will force Ukraine to give up the Donbas and Crimea, and Russia to pay war reparations (probably through a tax on their energy being sold once again in the West). Trump is NOT Putin’s puppet and will deal fairly with both sides.
Trump is peace.
Biden is war.
America and the WORLD waits.
Stalemate equates to a war of attrition. Ukraine can't afford to lose a generation of young men no matter what weapons we send to them.
I never really understood the purpose of the counteroffensive. Ukraine doesn't have the wherewithal to seize and then hold more territory. The defenders (Russians) need far less people to hold off the attackers. And then there is the question of logistics.