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When Will the Next COVID Vaccine Be Available, and Who Should Get It?
Scientific American ^ | September 1, 2023 | Tanya Lewis

Posted on 09/02/2023 12:15:51 PM PDT by nickcarraway

An updated COVID vaccine will be available soon, but certain groups may benefit more than others

As the summer winds to a close, and we reluctantly trade beach days and late sunsets for cooler weather and school or work, we also have to confront the reality that COVID will remain a part of our lives. The U.S. has already seen a summer bump in cases in recent weeks, with hospitalizations andwastewater levels of the virus creeping back up. So many people may be wondering when they can get another COVID vaccine.

According to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, the updated fall COVID booster will likely be available around mid-September—once the agency authorizes it. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention will then issue recommendations on which groups of people can or should get vaccinated.

An FDA advisory committee met in June to determine which strains of the COVID-causing virus SARS-CoV-2 should be included in the fall booster. It settled on XBB.1.5, which has been the dominant variant in the U.S. for much of this year. Recently a new variant called BA.2.86 was detected, and it has more than 35 new mutations, compared with XBB.1.5. Cases of the BA.2.86—which, like XBB.1.5, is an offshoot of the well-known Omicron variant—have been found in the U.S., Denmark, Israel and other countries. The new variant currently makes up only a tiny fraction of cases, although SARS-CoV-2 is being sequenced and tracked far less closely today. Whether BA.2.86 is better at evading the immune system or causes more severe disease remains to be seen, but FDA scientists say the fall COVID booster and prior immunity should still help protect against serious illness.

“If authorized or approved, based upon the available evidence, the FDA believes these vaccines with a monovalent XBB.1.5 composition will provide the best available protection against the most serious consequences of the disease resulting from currently circulating variants,” the agency told Scientific American in an e-mail.

Experts that Scientific American spoke with agree that those who would benefit most from the fall COVID booster are people age 65 and above, as well as those who are chronically ill, immunocompromised or pregnant. “I always worry about the people for whom boosters would provide the greatest benefit, and that's people who are at high risk for severe illness. So people 65 and older and also people with underlying health conditions,” says Jennifer Nuzzo, a professor of epidemiology and director of the Pandemic Center at the Brown University of Public Health.

Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center and an attending physician at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, agrees. “We should focus on those groups that are most at risk,” says Offit, who is a member of the FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee. “The goal is not to prevent all illness. The goal is to keep people out of the hospital.”

Stanley Perlman, a professor of microbiology and immunology at the University of Iowa Carver College of Medicine, adds that infants aged six months or older who have not been vaccinated are also at increased risk from COVID and could benefit from getting the vaccine’s primary series.

There is less evidence of an additional booster’s potential benefits for healthy people under age 65 who have already been vaccinated or infected, but it remains to be seen what the CDC will recommend. “For everyone else, it’s a little bit more complicated and a little bit less clear what the benefits are,” Nuzzo says. There is some evidence that boosting increases antibody levels in the short term, which might be helpful. “In the past, I’ve timed getting a booster dose to just give myself a little bit of potential extra protection during times when I know I’m more likely to have exposures like holiday travel, gathering with lots of people I don’t normally spend time with, etcetera,” she says. But she also advises waiting to see what the CDC recommends.

Offit notes that any vaccine or medicine has risks and benefits. In very rare cases, the mRNA COVID vaccines have been associated with myocarditis or pericarditis—inflammation of the heart muscle or lining, respectively. Although these conditions normally resolve on their own and can be caused by infections such as COVID itself, Offit says healthy young people may want to weigh the potential risks—however small—against the potential benefit of additional booster shots.

Others say the benefits outweigh the risks, however. Even though healthy adults ages 18 to 50 are much less likely to be hospitalized or die from COVID, it is still one of the leading causes of death in those age groups, Perlman says. “People that age don’t usually die—the vast, vast, vast majority don’t—but if you have a low frequency of dying, you want to protect yourself,” Perlman adds.

Like most vaccines, those for COVID are intended to prevent severe disease, not infection altogether. When the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines were first authorized in late 2020, they were about 95 percent protective against even mild disease. But viruses evolve. And as SARS-CoV-2 did so, the level of antibodies produced in response to the vaccines also waned—so those vaccines no longer totally protected against infection. Immune cells known as T cells persist and continue to protect against severe disease, however.

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Sign Up People at the highest risk for severe COVID—those older than age 75 and those who are severely immunocompromised—may not mount a strong immune response to vaccination. If you’re one of these people, and you get COVID, your best bet is to test yourself promptly to confirm the infection and then, if eligible, obtain the antiviral drug Paxlovid as soon as possible. “If you look at people who get hospitalized or die [from COVID now], most haven’t had an antiviral,” Offit says. But it’s important to get the drug within the first three to five days of infection; otherwise it won’t have much effect.

Is it possible to have too many vaccine doses? One concern with vaccinating multiple times with the same strain of a virus is that it could train the immune system to only protect against that strain, a phenomenon known as immune imprinting. Offit says that is unlikely to be a big concern with the COVID vaccines, however.

As for when the best time to get vaccinated is, experts say it’s now probably worth waiting for the new booster to come out—but don’t delay too long. “The best time to get vaccinated is before you get sick,” Nuzzo says.

Offit and others recommend getting flu vaccinations as well. Flu season tends to peak a bit later in the winter, and vaccine protection tends to wane, so one could wait until late October to get the shot. But it’s also fine to get both the COVID and flu vaccines at the same time if that’s more convenient. This year adults age 60 and older and pregnant people will also be eligible for a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine. RSV sends up to 160,000 older adults and up to 80,000 children to the hospital each year, and it kills up to 10,000 adults and 300 children. Those who are eligible should talk to their doctors about whether the vaccine is right for them.

As we head into yet another respiratory virus season, one thing is clear: COVID is here to stay. “It will join the pantheon of other winter respiratory viruses that cause hundreds of thousands to be hospitalized and thousands to die every year,” Offit says. “We are out of the pandemic, but the virus isn’t gone.”


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
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1 posted on 09/02/2023 12:15:51 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

W.F.C.?

🔬🤔😵🚫💉💊🐎💩. 🚫🔓.


2 posted on 09/02/2023 12:19:14 PM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this💩? 🚫💉)
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To: rktman

All of that and more. My very smart MD didn’t want me to get any shots last time and he won’t this time either. BigPharma can go suck rocks.


3 posted on 09/02/2023 12:20:59 PM PDT by Veto! (FJB Sucks Rocks)
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To: Veto!

Your MD was one of the few smart ones, keep him. Such a shame many years ago Scientific American was a respected science journal. Now it is nothing but a propaganda tool for the worst of the leftists.


4 posted on 09/02/2023 12:24:52 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: nickcarraway

Who cares and no one.


5 posted on 09/02/2023 12:26:47 PM PDT by cyclotic (The real problem with racism in America today is that demand far outstrips supply)
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To: nickcarraway

Article:

“So people 65 and older” should get the vaxx..

They want us dead to “save the planet” and “fight climate change”.

It is getting kinda obvious.

Pureblood bump.


6 posted on 09/02/2023 12:27:43 PM PDT by cgbg ("Creative minds have always been known to survive any kind of bad training." Anna Freud.)
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To: nickcarraway

Hahaha 🤣

NO.


7 posted on 09/02/2023 12:29:23 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Veto!

I switched doctors. On my second appointment, she started talking how she distrusts the CDC. Last week I was in again and we had a great chat about conservative policies and politics.


8 posted on 09/02/2023 12:30:00 PM PDT by cyclotic (The real problem with racism in America today is that demand far outstrips supply)
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To: nickcarraway

“An FDA advisory committee met in June to determine which strains of the COVID-causing virus SARS-CoV-2 should be included in the fall booster. It settled on XBB.1.5, which has been the dominant variant in the U.S. for much of this year”

The virus is already 2-3 mutations past XBB which is declining. But hey they already decided to approve this junk with no hard evidence it will work. Like last year’s flu vaccine.

“Offit notes that any vaccine or medicine has risks and benefits. In very rare cases, the mRNA COVID vaccines have been associated with myocarditis or pericarditis—inflammation of the heart muscle or lining, respectively. Although these conditions normally resolve on their own and can be caused by infections such as COVID itself, Offit says healthy young people may want to weigh the potential risks—however small—against the potential benefit of additional booster shots.”

Myocarditis is forever. It is heart damage, you may live with it and control it but it does not “ resolve”. In fact, we now know vaxx spikes are still active in half the vaxx people for 6 months, maybe more, so continuing damage.

“ Even though healthy adults ages 18 to 50 are much less likely to be hospitalized or die from COVID, it is still one of the leading causes of death in those age groups, Perlman says. “People that age don’t usually die—the vast, vast, vast majority don’t—but if you have a low frequency of dying, you want to protect yourself,” Perlman adds.”

We really REALLY want to see statistics on this. More people die from cancer…maybe we should all start chemo now.

“Like most vaccines, those for COVID are intended to prevent severe disease, not infection altogether”

Boy the science sure changed since 2020. Everyone remember getting mild smallpox or mild polio or mild measles?

I gotta stop…this article is crafted PSYOPs.


9 posted on 09/02/2023 12:30:11 PM PDT by silverleaf (Inside Every Progressive Is A Totalitarian Screaming To Get Out” —David Horowitz)
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To: nickcarraway

Persons over 65, persons with BMI > 40, and (maybe) persons with diabetes or chronic lung disease should discuss it with a trusted doctor and a decision to take it is not irrational.


10 posted on 09/02/2023 12:30:19 PM PDT by Jim Noble (They don't think you know but I know that you do.)
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To: cgbg

(“So people 65 and older”)

Translation: They want to kill you off so you can’t collect Social Security money. /shiny side out


11 posted on 09/02/2023 12:30:59 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: cyclotic

🔝🔝🔝


12 posted on 09/02/2023 12:31:39 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: nickcarraway
Who Should Get It?

Same sheep as last time(s), of course.

LOL

13 posted on 09/02/2023 12:31:39 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: Jim Noble

I think low Vitamin D levels are a more serious risk factor than any of those.


14 posted on 09/02/2023 12:31:50 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Who should get it ?

Williams and DannyTN 5 times over !


15 posted on 09/02/2023 12:32:38 PM PDT by A strike (Words can have gender, humans cannot.)
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To: gibsonguy

Went for a VA service connected disability interview a couple weeks ago and the doc doing the interview basically said the vaxxes are useless and not to bother. But don’t tell anyone he said that.


16 posted on 09/02/2023 12:34:52 PM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this💩? 🚫💉)
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To: nickcarraway

Is there a controversy over the jabs? Just askin. (SARCASM!)

How about “Those who died from the earlier jabs should ignore reminders they get from their health plan. These are computer generated and no not reflect recent updates.”


17 posted on 09/02/2023 12:38:41 PM PDT by frank ballenger (You have summoned up a thundercloud. You're gonna hear from me. Anthem by Leonard Cohen)
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To: nickcarraway
“The best time to get vaccinated is before you get sick,”

Another expert.

18 posted on 09/02/2023 12:40:06 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: nickcarraway


I agree. A blood vitamin D level between 50ng/mL and 80ng/mL is optimal. A significant percentage of people in this country are below 30ng/mL.

19 posted on 09/02/2023 12:40:46 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: nickcarraway

No one should get it.

I’m 71 and never had a flu shot much less a Covid shot - not gonna start now.

Since I’m retired and don’t need to travel or go anywhere that might require proof of vaccination, I don’t see how they can make me - unless they weaponize mosquitos or something.

The way I see it, if these things actually worked, the world would quickly divide up into two groups: the vaccinated, who don’t get sick, and the unvaccinated, who do.

Word would travel at lighting speed - whenever someone caught the flu, friends would ask if they got the flu shot. If you said no, they would say “Well, no wonder. My family started taking the flu shot years ago and we haven’t gotten the flu ever since.” Millions of similar conversations would take place and soon there would be no doubt in anyone’s mind whether it worked or not.

Did that happen? No way. It didn’t happen with the flu, and it didn’t happen with Covid. Not even a little. There is statistically zero correlation between catching a flu and having taken a flu shot.

With Covid, the only question that remains is whether the Covid shots make you MORE likely to catch Covid or some other sickness.


20 posted on 09/02/2023 12:41:34 PM PDT by enumerated (81 million votes my ass)
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