Posted on 09/01/2023 2:04:06 AM PDT by RandFan
Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-Mont.) holds a wide lead over businessman Tim Sheehy in a hypothetical Montana Republican Senate primary match-up, according to a poll released Thursday.
Rosendale has not announced a run against Sheehy, establishment Republicans’ candidate of choice for Sen. Jon Tester’s (D-Mont.) seat, but rumors about him launching a campaign have been swirling for a few months. Tester defeated Rosendale for Senate in 2018.
The poll, conducted by J.L. Partners, showed Rosendale leading Sheehy by more than 30 points among likely Montana GOP primary voters, with 28 percent undecided on their choice of Republican nominee for the seat. Other findings in the poll include 52 percent of the voters saying they will vote for former President Trump in the upcoming GOP presidential primary.
Tester is a top target of Republicans, who see ruby-red Montana as a prime pickup opportunity in 2024.
After acknowledging that “candidate quality” was a problem for the party in 2022, GOP Senate leaders recruited Sheehy, viewing him as more competitive in a general election. They are now expressing concerns about candidates like Rosendale and former Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake, who is also expected to launch her own campaign for Senate in her state, complicating their path in 2024.
But Republican operatives have said that they believe National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Steve Daines (R-Mont.) and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) are prepared to fight for Sheehy’s nomination and spend whatever amount is necessary.
“If Daines and Mitch want Sheehy to be the nominee, he will be,” a GOP operative told The Hill last week. “They’re just going to have to exert themselves to make sure.”
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
fine with me as long as he removes that Democrat hack Tester.
I have been repeatedly disappointed by Montana voters.
Don’t they have only one congressional district?
Rosendale can’t be that unfancied in a re-match since they elect him to the House !
I say: Go for it.
They have 2 districts now (Rosendale represents the easier one) — but back in 2020 when Montana had just one district they did elect him statewide.
Interesting I didn’t know.
They’re used to him but I think they just like Tester and it doesn’t matter.
McConnell and the GOP want to make the case that he’d lose and we need someone else like their businessman.
I hope we dont fall for it.
You’re right, that’s exactly what the GOPe will try to do — act like no conservative candidate can ever win anywhere anymore. After all, the establishment’s deliberate sabotage of conservative candidates in 2022 PROVES they can’t win!
Conservative candidates are unwelcome even in the “reddest” of states like West Virginia, where the liberal Republican establishment is firmly behind moderate milquetoast Jim Justice to oppose Joe Manchin, instead of supporting conservative congressman Alex Mooney, who entered the race first.
The GOPe may not have officially done so yet, but in the Ohio Senate race they and their $$$$$ will surely flock to liberal state senator Matt Dolan (who is basically a Democrat) since he is the left-most option at this time. Ohio was supposed to be a solid pickup opportunity but it never really was all that solid.
The chances of defeating Sherrod Brown are less than 50% at best, but nominating an uninspiring liberal simp to take him on would reduce that number considerably.
If its gonna take a squish along with a wave election to take out entrenched incumbents like Tester and Sherrod Brown we’ll have to do it. Same with Justice in WV.
3 takeovers are ideal but we’ll end up with one. I can’t see Sienma setting us up for a takeover in Az.
I agree with those last 2 sentences: WV should be a slam dunk, even for (gasp!) a conservative, not that one will be allowed to get the nomination. MT is a tossup, OH is less than a tossup, and the GOP probably hasn’t got a prayer in AZ; if for no other reason, because of who counts the votes.
There is a very slim chance of success, which can happen only if Sinema stands her ground and takes enough votes away from the ultra-liberal Democrat cockroach, thereby allowing the Republican to possibly win with something like 40%. The Rats will lynch Sinema before they allow that to happen.
And the voters? Do they have a say?
““If Daines and Mitch want Sheehy to be the nominee, he will be,” a GOP operative told The Hill last week. “They’re just going to have to exert themselves to make sure.”
And the voters? Do they have a say?”
Yes, we do!
Tim Sheehy is an OUTSTANDING man and would be a GREAT asset to the USA in the Senate!
He enlisted in the Navy after 911, became a SEAL, did some very tough tours of duty and now owns a business that employs 200+ folks -
He is also a pilot and flies into wildfires.
He will have MY vote!
I’m sure Sheehy routinely performs CPR on wounded kittens too. It’s possible for him to be a “great guy” but still be a moderate squish — and one who is actually LESS electable than Rosendale.
Or haven’t you been reading the attacks on Sheehy from the left? The attacks don’t in any way imply that Sheehy is a feared conservative; they just mean that since the GOP simps like Daines & McConnell favor him, he is very likely to be the nominee so the haters are getting an early start.
Surely you recall that the #1 and only real “stopper” against Rosendale in 2018 was that he was a carpetbagger who had committed the mortal sin of not being a lifelong Montana resident. Apparently the voters — who in 2020 elected Rosendale STATEWIDE in a high-turnout presidential election year — have forgiven him.
Sheehy OTOH hasn’t even been in Montana for 10 years yet, so by all means let’s make the Rats’ task even easier in 2024 by letting them use the same playbook from 2018. And Sheehy is being attacked for old “lewd”, “racist” posts he’s made on Facebook, among other things.
Of course Rosendale, if he is somehow the nominee, will be attacked by the moonbats too just like he was in 2018, 2020 and 2022. He won two of those races anyway, and he has a good conservative political track record on which to run.
The difference is that, if Rosendale is the nominee, he will face attacks from the squishes on his OWN side as well. The ones (like Daines & McConnell for example) who would rather Tester get another term & Democrats keep Senate control than risk some smelly conservative taking that seat.
Good to hear!
The media make it seem that he’s hand-selected by Mirch. You know that doesn’t help on this site?
But still, glad to say someone beside the GOPe vouch for him.
Which one is more electable? That’s all that matters and do the ‘experts’ know? I thought Oz was more electable-a familiar face. I don’t get paid to get it right and something tells me people are getting paid to get it wrong.
...so Trump endorses Sheehy..? Ye gads...
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